Nintendo forecasts are famously inaccurate it's true, I feel like giving purposefully low forecasts to shareholders shouldn't be legal though lol.

Not really. You still have to add the 1.26M Switch sold for the quarter. So that is 8.27M units sold. If Switch 1 had been discounted, Switch 2 would have surely topped Switch 1's 2017 Q3 numbers.

Switch 2 launch was much higher than Switch 1 launch, so for Switch 2s holiday to almost match Switch 1s holiday in 2017 is very strong. Switch 1 even had a killer holiday game like Mario Odyssey as well.

All in all, Nintendo succeeded in creating a strong momentum for Switch 2, with this fast adoption rate third party ports should come faster and faster and combined with stronger Nintendo first party offerings, the Switch 2 momentum should keep going.

This update was a silent big deal

- NS1 is now Nintendo's Highest selling system ever
- NS1 Is now the second highest selling system ever
- NS1 is less than 5 million away from taking the throne and it's not even in its 9th year

The negativity towards the Switch 2 is really disheartening. The console is on its way to beat its forecast of 19 million units in only ten months in its first year on the market and many people still act as if it is "slowing down" or as if its sales were concerning. If it had a full year on the market the console would most likely clear 20m units. As a reference: The PS3 and PS4 never had a single calendar year with over 20 million units in sales (using VGChartz data here, thus comparing fiscal years to calendar years. Quick Google search shows PS4 had one fiscal year at 20.3m units). The PS5 had one year above 20 million.

I remember the early Wii days on this forum when people said the market would get tired of the "fad" that was the Wii and sales would slow down soon. I was here when the infamous "cliff" was invented as a way to predict a Switch sales collapse. But at this point, people are flat out looking at the best first year ever in console history and still try to discredit it. It's absolutely insane. 

Switch 1's attach rate is now 9.7 games per console.

And it seems Switch 1 will overtake total PS2 software sales very soon.

Maybe people used to see how almost each time the Switch 1 over performed, and that has become the default thing. And now if something is not at least meeting the Switch 1's results or outperform them, it's taken as a meh. Which is big mistake. Switch 2 has excellent performance until that point. And it should continue to have that going ahead. Just to remind everyone, Switch 1 did worse than the DS, for almost all of it's life but the last 2 years, and it still outsold it in the end.

You're probably right, at least to some extend. But I have to say it bothers me a bit. I've been a forum member for almost 20 years and whenever a Nintendo console sells great, it gets downplayed in some way shape or form. Sales will fall off a cliff, the fad will end, Nintendo consoles always die quickly, sales aren't really important, a market leader is decided by revenue and not sales (I guess Apple is market leader in basically any category they ship products in), it doesn't count anyways because third party games don't sell on Nintendo consoles... the list goes on. (And I've worked here for a couple of years as an analyst: I know these things happened). And to be honest, it keeps me from posting from time to time. That's all. That being said, I'm glad we have many great users here and I appreciate your posts.

The main change from the Switch 1 era when it comes to Switch 2 sales is the following:

Switch 1 always had NA, EU and Japan when it came to sales, while for Switch 2 as of yet, Japan has been a bigger market than Europe for Switch 2. I think that is mostly due to games like Pokemon Legends Z-A and Kirby Air Riders being much more popular in Japan than in Europe.