Switch 1 peak November in Europe was 1.03m, PS5 peak November in Europe was 1.95m last year. PS5 tripling Switch 2 this month in Europe is possible, as Switch 1 averaged around 650k for Nov EU sales, but not guaranteed. Think 4x would be very unlikely though. Switch 2 has already been seeing some pretty significant discounts and deals though so for a launch year November it might do a lot better than expected.

Nintendo is heavily weighted towards December though compared to PS. Switch 1 peaked at 1.80m for EU December, whereas PS5's best EU December is 1.35m. Nintendo always sells much more in December than November and PS the opposite. 

Switch 2 winning December is certainly possible. Family's getting Switch's for Christmas is massive for Nintendo.

Given that Japan as of yet usually have stronger Switch 2 months than Europe, if Japan is around 500-550k sales for November, Europe could maybe match that for November. 1M could happen in Japan for December, which would based on the trend of Japan being a bigger market for Switch 2 as of yet put Europe at 800-900k Switch 2 sales for December.

Interesting.

Actually the strongest December of PS5 was 1.39M.

Also PS4 had stronger Decembers than that, peaking at 1.82M in 2016, which is stronger than Switch's 1.8M.

I won't be surprised if this December PS5 hit it's record for that month in Europe, passing the 1.39M number.

Also that trend where PS sells more in November, started just recently, from 2023.

With PS4 and even PS5 up until 2023, December was always the stronger month.

Quest and psvr alive! Good to see :)

Ok, what you described is absolutely NOT standard console practices lmao. No console ever took 10 years to be replaced for one, not the PS2 and not even the Switch. And for two, even without all the inflation and pandemic and whatnot, a PS5 at $199 would be too big a loss of money for Sony, let alone at $99. You just made up an insane scenario where 200M would be possible.

Yes, I made up scenario where 200M is possible. But it's not insane. (And it was not about reaching 200M, it just resulted in that. It was all about how it could gonna go if we had generation just like PS1, PS2, and to some extend PS3, where the hardware got cheaper over time, and we didn't had so much of an inflation). Saying standard console practices I meant the thing with the prices, and being cheaper over time, not the 10 years life as a major console. That hasn't been done still, yes. However in that standard console practice where there is price cuts as usual, as previous generations had, the PS5 is selling more, and therefore allowing Sony to prolong it's life. But okay, if you want cut two years, and put the launch of PS6 in 2028, it can still reach at least 180M. Also 199$ would not be sell at a loss in that example scenario because, the point of this is exactly that, the generation to be like previous ones, where 199 and even 99$ was possible. Also before the prices of tech fell quickly, so if we can take out those price hikes, and make it inline with the standard console practices where everything get cheap overtime and drop in price, then I don't see an issue there. And to clarify this is taking the time back to PS1 and PS2 days, not PS3 ones where price lower than 199$ wasn't possible (maybe it was but they needed to keep selling PS3 till 2020).

This same thing can be done for all the consoles, and extend their sales and life too.

Man Xbox Series being down about 80% YoY this week is just absurd. It's selling like its successor has been out for a while but the next Xbox is probably still a couple years away so I am morbidly curious just how low its sales are gonna get by 2027. It's gonna get to a point where I dunno if it would even make sense to manufacture it any more. For the Switch 1 80% down points to a rapid decline outside of Japan.

The crazy thing is that in many countries, Xbox series is already doing late stage Wii U numbers in sales numbers this year. So if the next Xbox hardware is slated to release late 2027, that would be like Nintendo launching the Switch in 2020 and having the Wii U on the market for 3 extra years. Mindshare must be non existant in a lot of markets outside the US for the next Xbox if that timeline happens.

Going by sales, Xbox actually needed a new console on the market more than Nintendo this year, because Xbox is selling less than Switch 1 on a monthly basis this year even after Switch 1 got replaced by Switch 2.

At least the Wii U would've still kept getting Nintendo games till then. Like BOTW would've boosted Wii U sales if the Switch wasn't a thing but the only possible thing left that could do anything for Xbox sales at all at this point is GTA 6 and with them not putting any effort into selling it any more I doubt even that will do much for it next year.