| Panicradio said: All these great PS5 deals are probably (sadly) a hint at those upcoming RAM price hikes. |
Yep. If we think theoretically that PS5 is essentially doing PS4 lifetime numbers, and if we put the standard console practices on it such as price cuts, and remove all the price hikes, alongside releasing PS6 in 2030 and thus prolonging the generation (because of the good sales), the console could reach highs like 200M.
If we instead of what actually happened, put some 100$ price cut in 2024, we could had peak year of let's say 25M (from 21.6M the previous year). The PS5 at this point is selling at 299$ for the digital one and 399$ for the disc based one. Then we could have some 22-23M year now, this year - 2025, and we could have another 22-23M next year with GTA IV. Then in 2027 it would drop to 18-19M. And normally it would drop once again to 14-15M in 2028 however another price cut happens then just like previous console generations, and PS5 drops to 199$ for the digital one, and 299$ for the disc based one. So the sales remain the same 18-19M for 2028. Drop to 15M in 2029, and finally replacing it in 2030, with sales dropping to 10M. We can of course add some more help with another price cut in 2031 to 99$ for the digital and 199$ for the disc based keeping the drop slight and doing 8M in 2031, then continuing to sell until 2035, with sales of 6M, 4M, 2M and 1M.
- By the end of 2023 PS5 did 52M of sales
- With the 2024 in this other reality, PS5 do 25M with that 100$ price cut, reaching 77M by end of 2024
- By end of 2025 - another 23M breaking 100M.
- 22M more for 2026 because of GTA VI helping it maintain almost the same sales - 122M
- 18M more added with 2027 we have 140M
- We add 18M more because of the second price cut - 158M by end of 2028
- 15M more with 2029, it reaches 173M
- 10M more with 2030, the year PS6 finally releases, 183M
- with 2031, and the next price cut to 99$, PS5 doing another 8M, we reach 191M
- 2032 - 6M, 197M
- 2033 - 4M, 201M
- 2034 - 2M, 203M
- 2035 - 1M, 204M
- Those long legs are because of the ridiculous price in the end of 99$
My primary threads:
Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021
Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart
Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2







