Confirmation bias makes for particularly dumb arguments. And I'm not even looking down on anyone. At one point or another, we're all guilty of making a dumb argument - and for the majority of us, it's far from just one. But where a person making dumb arguments avoids the status of stupidity is when they recognize their error, and don't let confirmation bias keep them captured.

In other words: don't worry about being dumb, don't worry about being pointed out as being dumb. By all means, risk being dumb.
Instead, worry about being stupid, and avoid it when you can by changing course when you find out you've said something dumb.

So guys, after the report that the Switch 2 got 2.2 Million applications to get on day 1 in Japan (for comparison, Switch 1 sold 330k it's first weekend IN Japan and 2.9M WORLDWIDE overall it's first MONTH), while also having reports from other retailers in Europe saying pre orders are at historic levels, does this change your predictions for overall Switch sales?

To be honest, I feel like a good portion of this thread is heavily underestimating the Switch 2's sales potential, it doesn't have much of any reason to do noticeably worse than Switch 1. A common reason I've been seeing is that "Switch 2's concept won't be as impressive as it was when it first came out in 2017 and people will just stick to the Switch 1", but that logic didn't stop MORE consumers into upgraded from a PS1 to PS2 even tho both consoles had no significant differences outside of performance.

The only times we really see direct sequels of consoles drop off in sales is when there's increased competition or the console screws up badly when it comes to price. The SNES sales dropped primarily due to the emergence of the Sega Genesis, 3DS sales dropped due to smartphone competition, PS3 sales dropped largely due to price and more competition from Xbox. The Switch 2 won't be in any of those situations, there's no competition for it right now.

I actually think Switch 2 will exceed 150 Million just like Switch 1.

To add onto this, I feel like many of us are getting too influenced by the hate from a bunch of random Twitter internet trolls who keep complaining and spamming about the prices, I think the past few years in the gaming industry should go to show that all these gaming controversies we see everywhere on the internet aren't viewed as problems at all for the general consumer. It's easy to get caught up to that loud vocal minority of Twitter trolls making the Switch 2 seem like it's gonna be off to a rougher start thanks to prices, when in reality the general consumer will pay nearly anything to get the newest Mario Kart, the 3rd bestselling game in history without a single price cut in 8 years.

I mean with how much the Steam Deck is talked about and compared to Switch on the internet, you'd think Steam Deck was actually a legit competitor to Switch. When in reality the comparisons is 150M+ vs 4M, the internet really brings out a vocal minority that shouldn't be representative at all of what the general population thinks

I don't think price will have any significant impact on Switch 2's success. People were still buying the Switch Oled in droves at 350$, 100$ less than Switch 2 but inflation comes in, plus Nintendo always has the luxury to drop the price to 400$ whenever.

However it does, I'm hoping Nintendo will be releasing their VR standalone platform in few years - it's about time to play Mario Kart and Zelda in VR.

Some people just want to watch the world burn.... energy with this post.
(we don't have downvotes here on vgchartz, so I had to quote you instead :P , I think this is a horrible idea, and wont happen)

So guys, after the report that the Switch 2 got 2.2 Million applications to get on day 1 in Japan (for comparison, Switch 1 sold 330k it's first weekend IN Japan and 2.9M WORLDWIDE overall it's first MONTH), while also having reports from other retailers in Europe saying pre orders are at historic levels, does this change your predictions for overall Switch sales?