So guys, after the report that the Switch 2 got 2.2 Million applications to get on day 1 in Japan (for comparison, Switch 1 sold 330k it's first weekend IN Japan and 2.9M WORLDWIDE overall it's first MONTH), while also having reports from other retailers in Europe saying pre orders are at historic levels, does this change your predictions for overall Switch sales?
To be honest, I feel like a good portion of this thread is heavily underestimating the Switch 2's sales potential, it doesn't have much of any reason to do noticeably worse than Switch 1. A common reason I've been seeing is that "Switch 2's concept won't be as impressive as it was when it first came out in 2017 and people will just stick to the Switch 1", but that logic didn't stop MORE consumers into upgraded from a PS1 to PS2 even tho both consoles had no significant differences outside of performance.
The only times we really see direct sequels of consoles drop off in sales is when there's increased competition or the console screws up badly when it comes to price. The SNES sales dropped primarily due to the emergence of the Sega Genesis, 3DS sales dropped due to smartphone competition, PS3 sales dropped largely due to price and more competition from Xbox. The Switch 2 won't be in any of those situations, there's no competition for it right now.
I actually think Switch 2 will exceed 150 Million just like Switch 1.







