January 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from January 5 to February 1 and will be released on February 21.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for January 2024:

1. PS5 - 395K
2. NS - 258K
3. XSX|S - 241K

Note: January 2024 had 5 weeks, while it is 4 weeks this year.

Upcoming Circana (NPD) release dates (subject to change as Circana has delayed reports in the past):

• Jan (Jan 5 - Feb 1) - Feb 21
• Feb (Feb 2 - Mar 1) - Mar 19
• Mar (Mar 2 - Apr 5) - Apr 23
• Apr (Apr 6 - May 3) - May 21
• May (May 4 - May 30) - Jun 18

Results:

TLDR:

Units: PS5 > NS > XS
Revenue: PS5 > XS > NS

Link to the VGChartz article here.

PS5 Best-Seller in the US in January, Donkey Kong Country Returns HD Debuts in 8th

The PlayStation 5 was once again the best-selling console in the US in January 2025 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the four-week period of January 5 to February 1.

The Nintendo Switch came in second place in terms of units sold and in third in terms of dollar sales. The Xbox Series X|S came in third place in terms of units sold and second in dollar sales.

In terms of dollar sales, the PlayStation 5 is down 38 percent year-on-year, while the Xbox Series X|S is down 50 percent, and the Nintendo Switch is down 53 percent. It should be noted, January 2024 included five weeks, while this year included four weeks.

88 percent of Xbox Series X|S sales were digital SKUs as Microsoft shifted from the Xbox Series X with a disc drive to the Robot White Digital Edition. The Xbox Series X accounted for about half of all Xbox Series console sales for the month.

49 percent of PS5 sales were digital SKUs and the PS5 Pro has now fallen behind the pace of the PS4 Pro.

Overall spending on video games in January decreased 15 percent year-on-year from $5.32 billion to $4.51 billion. Spending on video game content decreased 12 percent from $4.68 billion to $4.12 billion, while video game hardware sales decreased 45 percent from $371 million to $205 million. Spending on accessories decreased 28 percent from $268 million to $194 million.

"January 2025 projected U.S. consumer spending on video game hardware, content and accessories fell 15% when compared to a year ago, to $4.5 billion, while finishing 0.3% ahead of January 2023’s $4.50B," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella.

Non-mobile subscription spending grew 13 percent year-on-year and mobile spending grew two percent. However, this was not enough to offset console content spending, which fell 35 percent compared to year.

The Midnight Black DualSense controller was the best-selling gamepad in terms of dollar sales for January. the PlayStation Portal remains the best-selling accessory in terms of dollar sales for another.

Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 was the best-selling game in January. It ranked first on the PlayStation charts and second on the Xbox charts. Call of Duty HQ was number one in monthly active users on the Xbox Series X|S and second on the PS5.

Following the release of the Steam version, Final Fantasy VII: Rebirth shot up from 53rd to third place. The Final Fantasy VII Remake & Rebirth Twin Pack rose from 265th place to 16th place.

Donkey Kong Country Returns HD was the only new release in the top 20 this month as it debuted in eighth place. It should be noted Nintendo does not share digital sales.

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for January 2025:

Here are the top 10 games played on the PlayStation 5 ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 games played on the Xbox Series X|S ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 games played on Steam ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PlayStation platforms in January 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Xbox platforms in January 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Nintendo platforms in January 2025:

Upcoming U.S. video game market results from Circana:
Coverage Month - Public Release Date

Jan (Jan 5 - Feb 1) - Feb 21
Feb (Feb 2 - Mar 1) - Mar 19
Mar (Mar 2 - Apr 5) - Apr 23
Apr (Apr 6 - May 3) - May 21
May (May 4 - May 30) - Jun 18

Digital Data Sharing Participating Publishers:

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— Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) February 13, 2025 at 10:30 AM

I have a really hard time with revenue... but..

1. Playstation (both in units and revenue)
2. Switch (both in units and revenue)
3. Xbox (last in both units and revenue)

My estimates:
PS5 ~380k
NS ~210k
XSXs ~ 170k

I just pulled it outta my arse... so its just a rough guess (to get the thread started).

*edit: 
Am I going to low?
"..covers the four-week period from January 5 to February 1"    Maybe not?

Reminder: Just over a week to get your predictions in.

1. PS5 both in units and revenue
2. XSX|S both in units and revenue
3. NS both in units and revenue
And estimates are
PS5: 390k
XSX|S: 215k
NS: 200k

I'd say PS5 > Xbox Series > Switch on both revenue and sales, no idea about numbers.

ps5- 360k
switch - 190k
xb - 160k

Reminder: Report drops tomorrow.

PS5 290k
Switch 200k
Xbox 170k

With sales being way down after those 250k+ months in US in a non holiday period, and 4 week month instead of 5 weeks, I don't know why and how some of you expect Switch to end barely down from 2024. From April 2024 US monthly numbers have been between 130K and 160K outside of holidays. And we have successor announcement on top of this. Since the first few months in a year are often little bit higher than what the baseline will become from April till October, those are my estimations for January 2025 in US:

1. PS5 - 300K
2. NS - 150K
3. XBSX - 150K

PS5- 340k
xbox- 160k
Switch- 140k