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Forums - Sales - Japan Consoles Showdown 2025: Nov 30th

 

Who will sell more in 2026 in Japan?

PS5 6 31.58%
 
Switch 1 13 68.42%
 
Total:19

I'm surprised over a third of people think the Switch 2 won't hit 5 million this year. I suppose it's a tiny sample size.



Playing Xenoblade 2 before I buy Xenoblade 3 (otherwise I couldn't wait to play 3).

Can they announce a new Fire Emblem? A remake of Genealogy or Tellius would suffice !

Around the Network
  • Data and chart for the Switch 2 has been updated and adjusted with the added numbers from My Nintendo Store. It is now tracking well ahead of the NSW '4.5M year, and having in mind the weeks till the holidays, it is very likely Switch 2 will greatly outsell that 2019 year of the Switch 1. Reaching a year in Japan on the level of the peak Switch 1 year of 6.4M is starting to look more and more like a real possibility.
Last edited by XtremeBG - on 15 July 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 28 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 29 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 30 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Around the Network
  • Data has been updated with week 31 from Famitsu.
  • Charts were updated with the data for July.
  • Data for the Switch 2 was adjusted from the VGChartz data for June.
  • Xbox Series comparison was removed, since it's barely moving, and with 100/200 units per week it's pointless to even include it.


My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Norion said:

1.5-1.7m is my guess for the Switch this year unless it releases later than expected. For the PS5 1.2-1.3m seems right due to Wilds and a lesser extent GTA 6 and the Pro model helping sales.

Was that supposed for the Switch 2 or the OG Switch?

If for the OG Switch, then you were a bit too high I guess, I think 1.3M will be more realistic.

If for the Switch 2, then it's already past that point now.

Also PS5 will not reach that anymore, 800k seems sadly more realistic considering weekly sales have dropped to below Wii U levels now...



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Norion said:

1.5-1.7m is my guess for the Switch this year unless it releases later than expected. For the PS5 1.2-1.3m seems right due to Wilds and a lesser extent GTA 6 and the Pro model helping sales.

Was that supposed for the Switch 2 or the OG Switch?

If for the OG Switch, then you were a bit too high I guess, I think 1.3M will be more realistic.

If for the Switch 2, then it's already past that point now.

Also PS5 will not reach that anymore, 800k seems sadly more realistic considering weekly sales have dropped to below Wii U levels now...

The Switch 1 yeah, by it I meant the Switch 2 and yeah around 1.3m could happen now considering how it's about to fall behind the PS3's 2010. For the PS5 I did significantly overestimate it since I was not expecting such a drastic fall off. I thought Monster Hunter Wilds would keep the decline from being overly big.



  • Data has been updated with weeks 32, 33, 34 and 35 from Famitsu.
  • Charts were updated with the data for August.


My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 36 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2