^ this was me back in early 2024.

Same, I thought, it could potentially fall under 40m.... but it was more likely that it would go abit over.

That was with the rumors of Xbox trying to do a quick early launch of a new system too.
Back then, xbox guys on the web, were floating ideas of a 2026 launch, to get a head start on the PS6.

I figured if xbox sales where bad, and xbox really did try to relaunch a new system instead, it could lead to the series x/s being under 40m total.

If xbox really did have such plans, this Ai ram/ssd situation really bit them in the behinde. 
It's not looking like a great time to launch a new system, as this is likely to carry on into 2026 as well.

• nevermind.

Based on the sales trend alone, despite all the massive drops in last two years, it should be obviously possible unless there is a massive overtrack here. I doubt that they can't sell 2m Xboxes in the next 2 years. The question is - seeing recent development and Microsoft switching the consoles in legacy maintenance mode - what if they discontinue Series X/S this year? I don't think it's a zero possibility at this point. In this case, it won't reach 36m

I just updated my lifetime chart with Series's competitors (instead of Wii US sales at 42M, I added back PS4's US sales of 35M and GBA's US sales of 36M). It seems the Xbox line is flattening. GBA sales in the US seems quite impressive in it's first few years.

I would say that I agree… but Xbox Series X|S saw no holiday bump in November (according to VGChartz estimates). With all the recent prices hikes and terrible press surrounding the system, I feel like we haven’t seen anywhere near how bad it’s going to be. January 2026 figures will give us a better idea: admittedly, November not seeing much of a “holiday bump” could simply boil down to a lack of BF deals.

Holiday boost for November was there actually. Although it was small, from doing around 140k per month before that, Series did 220k + in November. Therefore we should expect some increase in December too. Of course not big, but still. Each year December is like 2 or more times than November. Therefore we should expect at least 300k if not even 400k for worldwide sales of the Series in December. 450k or even 500k is not out of the cards too.

So, the console wont sell simply due to the price. Its really that simple. But the thing is... I don't think Microsoft wants to sell Xbox. They want to be in the software business. They don't want to be in the hardware business. In their perfect world. They let Sony, Nintendo and PC vendors produce the hardware and they produce the software. Remember the only reason Xbox exists is because Sony would let Microsoft put Windows on the PS2. Now it comes down to increasing subsidy costs mixed with a mandate for 30% profit margins. Going into next gen, its quite possible that the Xbox PC will be prices 30% above costs. Thats huge. Thats how you get to $1200-$1500.

We should be able to test this theory.  Don't we have the UK numbers for December?  Were they up substancially over November?

Will has it at 51.9K for December.  What are November's numbers.  

It's been such a wild ride watching Xbox diminish over the last 14 years. I feel like this is the final thread for it or something lol. Once the smoke settles from this console war I'm VERY eager to see what exactly Series X to Series S ratios were. I think Xbox releasing two separate consoles with such different specs was confusing to the consumer. I wonder how many parents thought that Series S was just as powerful as Series S. Probably the same parents that thought the Wii U was an attachment lol. Most gamers knew the difference but still an interesting factiod to be revealed eventually.

Just as I said. Xbox did almost 440k for the month of December.