Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

[JRPGfan]

JRPGfan said:

I actually think its possible it could fall short.
If its overtracked by a few million here.... and if they do launch a new console in early 2026.

Its gonna do another 5m this year, and probably 3,5-4m in 2025.
It could happend, even if its not the most likely thing to happend, imo.

^ this was me back in early 2024.

curl-6 said:

Norion said:

In a way it's kinda the opposite of the PS3 which had a rocky start but then started doing significantly better in 2009. What was your expectations for the Xbox Series when you made this thread? My guess is you thought it would make it but not by that much.

Yeah when I made this thread two years ago I was undecided, but thought it might just crack 40m cos I assumed MS would keep, y'know, actually trying to sell it with things like holiday deals. We also had no idea at the time of the upcoming price hikes due to tariffs and the RAM crunch.

Same, I thought, it could potentially fall under 40m.... but it was more likely that it would go abit over.

That was with the rumors of Xbox trying to do a quick early launch of a new system too.
Back then, xbox guys on the web, were floating ideas of a 2026 launch, to get a head start on the PS6.

I figured if xbox sales where bad, and xbox really did try to relaunch a new system instead, it could lead to the series x/s being under 40m total.

If xbox really did have such plans, this Ai ram/ssd situation really bit them in the behinde. 
It's not looking like a great time to launch a new system, as this is likely to carry on into 2026 as well.