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Forums - Sales - PS5 Ships over 92M. LT sales expectations?

 

LT sales expectations?

Under 115M 1 5.00%
 
115-125M 7 35.00%
 
125-135M 8 40.00%
 
135-150M 4 20.00%
 
150M+ 0 0%
 
Total:20

120-130m, I don't think the PS6 is coming in 2027 so it should be able to hit the 120m mark. If PS6 is 2028 then the PS5 is going to sell a lot more in 2027-2028 than the PS4 did in 2020-2021.

It's only 2.2m behind the PS4 now, an extra year without a successor would easily let it overtake.



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Does the majority really think PS5 won’t pass 120M? They’ll be at around 100M (actually more like 105M if the numbers on VGC are correct) at the end of this year. Even if PS6 launches in 2027 and PS5 sales drop off a cliff it will be hard not to crawl past 120M. I suppose a major price hike could do it though. Guess we’ll see.

Last edited by BonfiresDown - on 26 January 2026

Norion said:
Norion said:

If 2027 was the release year for the PS6 then a tad less than the PS4 but since it looks like it'll likely be 2028 it'll probably end up in the 120's.

This still looks accurate though the modest fiscal year forecast does indicate that a price increase is likely happening this year so the tariff debacle could potentially make it so it's more than just a tad less than the PS4 if it's 2027. Shouldn't do any worse than 110m though.

Not just the tariff debacle but there's also the RAM debacle now so yet another price increase should be on the way which'll hurt but cause of this RAM issue 2027 seems very unlikely now so 120's, specifically mid to late 120's looks likely to me. With it at about 90m by the end of last year something like this could happen with a 2028 PS6 launch:

2026: 15-16m

2027: 10-11m

2028: 7-8m

Add a handful more millions after the launch of PS6 and it'll likely fall in the 125-129m range. Early 130's is possible if its last years are somewhat better than this. Unless the PS6 takes even longer than 2028 the final PS5 total shouldn't differ much from this.

Last edited by Norion - on 26 January 2026

PS5 Ships 92.2M as of 31.12.2025. Poll renewed. Vote and write your expectations now, with the new shipment data available.



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Still between 120M-130M.



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This site is saying they shipped 94.2 million

https://simulationdaily.com/news/sony-financial-results-q3-fy2025/

I'm confused. Is their math wrong?



CosmicSex said:

This site is saying they shipped 94.2 million

https://simulationdaily.com/news/sony-financial-results-q3-fy2025/

I'm confused. Is their math wrong?

It's now 92.2M



My primary threads:

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Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

I think about 116 a 120mill



 

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I'm thinking 115 to 125. It'll probably outsell the ps4 but not by a huge amount. Much like the ps4 and ps3 sales will collapse once the successor is announced.