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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the Switch successor launch ?

 

When will the Switch 2 launch ?

Before September 2024 1 4.17%
 
September - December 2024 4 16.67%
 
January - April 2025 17 70.83%
 
May - December 2025 2 8.33%
 
Total:24

Did the poll get reset in this thread?



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super_etecoon said:

Did the poll get reset in this thread?

yes, I posted the original one in my post from earlier (two posts above yours), since the original post got deleted when the site was hacked



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Alex_The_Hedgehog said:

My guess would be Late 2023/ Early 2024.

Splatoon 3, Breath of the Wild 2 and some other titles will give Switch about another year of success.

Well, after all those rumors, I think Late 2024 seems to be the rational answer now.



Spring/Summer 2024.

I wouldnt be surprised if its Fall 2024 in time for the holidays.



yo33331 said:
super_etecoon said:

Did the poll get reset in this thread?

yes, I posted the original one in my post from earlier (two posts above yours), since the original post got deleted when the site was hacked

Awesome!  Thanks for doing that!



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Back in 2022 I said March 2024, and pre-COVID I would've said March 2023.
I'm saying November 2024 as the most likely. April-August 2024 has a small chance, September-October 2024 or March 2025 have a decent shot but less than November 2024.
I still see people arguing that Nintendo should wait until after March 2025 to release a Switch successor which is baffling to me. I suppose those same people think Nintendo will abandon Switch pretty quickly after Switch 2 launches but that is not a given. While 3DS was a very different way to play than Switch, it got good support in 2017 and even some in 2018-2019. Just because Switch 2 is 90% or more likely to be backwards compatible doesn't mean Nintendo should abandon Switch. DS may have been a third pillar at first, but it did play GBA games. GBA still got significant support in 2005 and 2006.
It doesn't seem like a smart idea to coast off of Switch as the only hardware until after FY 24-25. It seems the better idea is to launch a successor that many have waited for and have Switch as a backup in the unlikely event Switch 2 struggles.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Time to renew the thread!
Vote now!



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Rumors end up being wrong a lot of the time or plans change even if rumors were right. I changed my vote to Spring 2025, but that would mean early spring and before the vernal equinox.
Until Nintendo says otherwise, I now predict Switch 2 will launch 07 March 2025. That is the first Friday of March 2025, which would repeat Switch launching the first Friday of March 2025. 8 years has been a long wait, but that even happened with Xbox 360 to Xbox One. We'll have to see if Sony waits 8 years to launch PS6 (Holiday 2028) which could happen because of how expensive PS5 has been to make and how long a lot of the cinematic-heavy games take to make.
I don't see Xbox taking that long. Xbox will launch in Holiday 2026 or Holiday 2027.
With how quiet Nintendo has been about Switch 2 (not even a codename yet), October 2024 is the earliest it could possibly come out, but Nintendo will probably just pick November if they bother with a 2024 release.

Last edited by Wman1996 - on 25 February 2024

Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

I've now renamed the votes option, to better represent the periods, so they are as follows:

  • Before September 2024
  • September - December 2024
  • January - April 2025
  • May - December 2025
Last edited by XtremeBG - on 25 February 2024

My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

2025. It would have been announced by now if it were 2024.



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