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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware Dec 6-12 - Switch Leads Strong Week as Sales Climb

curl-6 said:

As of these numbers, just 2.3 million left til Switch passes 3DS. 

In other words, by now, it probably already has.

Was just about to say that. It probably has, or it's getting very close. Switch will pass GBA in 2021, that's a given. Next is Xbox 360 and PS3, which is also a given for next year. Passing the Wii is possible next year, but I think that will be in Q1 2022.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

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Wman1996 said:
curl-6 said:

As of these numbers, just 2.3 million left til Switch passes 3DS. 

In other words, by now, it probably already has.

Was just about to say that. It probably has, or it's getting very close. Switch will pass GBA in 2021, that's a given. Next is Xbox 360 and PS3, which is also a given for next year. Passing the Wii is possible next year, but I think that will be in Q1 2022.

Yeah, GBA, PS3, and 360 will all fall in 2021. Wii and PS1 could go either way between holiday 2021 and early 2022 depending on what Nintendo does as far as games, revisions, price cuts, etc.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023. (And over 130 million lifetime)

the problem with china is its censorship policies.

Ergo, it would be way, WAY harder for xbox or playstation to even try to get a proper foothold there.

meanwhile most of nintendo's first party lineup be like: stonks.



TheBraveGallade said:

the problem with china is its censorship policies.

Ergo, it would be way, WAY harder for xbox or playstation to even try to get a proper foothold there.

meanwhile most of nintendo's first party lineup be like: stonks.

It's not like China would be the only benefit for Sony/Microsoft developing more E rated non controversial games. They would both easily expand their appeal to younger families. They both have some games that are family friendly, but nothing like Nintendo, and family friendly games tend to be ones that communist China will have less issues with. Microsoft is already becoming aware of the importance of family friendly games I think. Sea of Thieves, Grounded, Everwild are all big steps in that direction as far as exclusives go. Rumors about Banjo are going again too. Still, they could use more. Sony definitely needs to take some steps in this direction first party wise.



curl-6 said:

As of these numbers, just 2.3 million left til Switch passes 3DS. 

In other words, by now, it probably already has.

Coming up next: The PSP.



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Does PS4 have enough in the tank to outsell GB?



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

Switch at the end of this month will be the 11th top selling platform and will go into 2021 taking on the top 10, under current momentum it'll pass the PS3 for 7th in Q2 of the next FY at which point it'll only be the 100m club above it.



Alex_The_Hedgehog said:
curl-6 said:

As of these numbers, just 2.3 million left til Switch passes 3DS. 

In other words, by now, it probably already has.

Coming up next: The PSP.

Wyrdness said:

Switch at the end of this month will be the 11th top selling platform and will go into 2021 taking on the top 10, under current momentum it'll pass the PS3 for 7th in Q2 of the next FY at which point it'll only be the 100m club above it.


Hi @Alex_The_Hedgehog @Wyrdness you are right, next year should be a very interesting year for this All-Time list. There is a chance that the NS is able to enter the top 5 by passing the Original PS. It would need about 25M for the calendar year, something that it is really high and rare, but it seems like Nintnedo is having a great momentum and it probably has a few tricks that it saved for next year (I say this because of the uneventful releases of this holiday season).

Looking at amount of units sold in a 12 month period for all consoles tracked here, it seems like Only the DS was able to have years above 25 million, The switch should be the second all time to achieve this.

It will definitely be fun to watch this race and the growth of the two new consoles.



brute said:

Does PS4 have enough in the tank to outsell GB?

Hi @brute I think if someone read this question a few months ago, they might have thought you are a troll. But looking at how sales are going this holiday season, this question is now a very valid one. It would be very unfortunate if it doesn't reach the 118.69 needed, As of right now it would need about 4M units more. If it sells like the PS3 sold after the release of the PS4, then it would have 8.25M left. 

Just by looking at that you might say that it is a guarantee that it will, but right now the PS4 is way below what the PS3 sold in its first holiday with a new console.