March 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the five-week period from March 1 to April 4 and will be released on April 22.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for March 2025:

1. PS5 - 363K
2. XS - 165K
3. NS - 149K

VGChartz US estimates for February 2026:

1. PS5 - 265K
2. NS2 - 224K
3. XS - 82K
4. NS - 40K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

• NS2 - Pokemon Pokopia release on March 5
• PS5 - Price hike announced on March 27 - Started on April 2
  • PS5 DE - $500 to $600
  • PS5 Disc - $550 to $650
  • PS5 Pro - $750 to $900
• Xbox Series X Discounted to $575 until March 6 (Walmart / Amazon / Best Buy)

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

• Mar (Mar 1 - Apr 4) - Apr 22
• Apr (Apr 5 - May 2) - May 20
• May (May 3 - May 30) - Jul 2
• Jun (May 31 - Jul 4) - Jul 22

1.NS2 - 450K
2.PS5 - 305K
3.XS - 100K
4.NS - 20K

• NS2 - 400K
• PS5 - 350K
• XS - 120K
• NS - 30K

I think PS5 will sell pretty well before this price hike.

PS5 - 400k
NS2 - 300k
XB - 100k
NS - 50k

I think even if the Switch 2 sells the most, PS5 will still rank 1st in dollars on the back of Pro sales alone.  Regardless we should expect the Switch 2 to lead going into November where things get interesting again.  And this is all assuming Nintendo doesn't increase the price. 

NS2 - 500k
PS5 - 350k
XBSX - 90k
NS - 30k

Okay here are my predictions given the new data from Mat

PS5 - 458K
NS2 - 373K
XS - 75K
NS - 60K

Basically I gave the NS2 a big boost over NS from last year in line with what we saw in the UK. For the PS5 I estimated the last week at double and subtracted for overall decline.

You  also gave an NS1 cosmic boost.

I hope it does rise though, three days left to know. 

A little under 2 days to go.