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Forums - Sales - February 2026 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

trunkswd 5 hours ago

February 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from February 1 to 28 and will be released on March 18.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
  4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for February 2025:

  1. PS5 - 303K
  2. XS - 163K
  3. NS - 134K

VGChartz US estimates for January 2026:

  1. PS5 - 188K
  2. NS2 - 179K
  3. XS - 72K
  4. NS - 29K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

  • PS5 - Some stock left of $399 / $499 Fortnite bundles
  • XSX|S - $574 Series X at Walmart / Amazon / Best Buy - Feb 12-28
  • Nex Playground, PC handhelds, etc.

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

  • Feb (Feb 1 - Feb 28) - Mar 18
  • Mar (Mar 1 - Apr 4) - Apr 22
  • Apr (Apr 5 - May 2) - May 20


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.