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firebush03 said:
I can’t remember what I said in the comment you’re responding to, but looking at the data, it does appear PS5’s May 2026 figures were lower than almost three-quarters of NS1’s 2025 figures (according to VGChartz). My whole point is that NS1 2025 is performing around where PS5 2026 is following their most recent price hike, which would make for an uphill battle to sell upwards of 20M more units over the rest of its lifecycle.

This comment:

firebush03 said:

I think 100M is still a lock, but I struggle to see it doing much better than 110M LTD, especially when sales are already below where Switch 1 was last year.

Switch did 2.2M with May included for 2025, PS5 did 2.9M with May included now, and every of it's months for this year are stronger than the corresponding months for Switch for 2025. But overall yes, they are not far. This is close to Switch's sales level in 2025, which is not okay.

As far as future go, I think it's too early to call that, since many things can happen. For example price cut at some time (as unlikely as this is, nothing is impossible), and prolonging the gen till 2030 for example. So I can't comment on that as of now, but my current prediction is 115-120M, although this may end highball or lowball depending on what really happens in the next 4 years.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2