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Sony really got dealt a bad card to close (and start) the PS5 generation. With the way chip prices and manufacturing costs are shifting, the most recent sales data from VGChartz for May 2026 leads me to believe that PS5 will not surpass 115M. I think 100M is still a lock, but I struggle to see it doing much better than 110M LTD, especially when sales are already below where Switch 1 was last year.

These upcoming few years shouldn’t be centered on hardware, but on software. Sony needs to stick with their PS5 install base as long as they can while also getting started with PS6 before they’ve completely lost all hardware momentum.

So… long cross-generational period seems to be the right call IMO.