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Norion said:
Olivernintentoal said:

Switch seems to be doing extremely well vs. Tbone's wild prediction. If the Switch sells ~2M total in 2025 (+1.3M) it will surpass Tbone's 2025 LTD predictions. I'm optimistic!

Year Tbone's predictions YTD Actuals YTD Difference
2017-2020   17.34mil 17.34mil 17.34mil n/a
2021 6.20mil 23.54mil 5.58mil 22.92mil -0.62mil
2022 5.20mil 28.74mil 4.81mil 27.72mil -1.02mil
2023 3.70mil 32.44mil 4.06mil 31.79mil -0.65mil
2024 3.20mil 35.64mil ~3.10mil 34.89mil -0.75mil
2025 1.20mil 36.84      
2026+ 500k+ 37.34      

With how the Switch 2 is trending 2m isn't really feasible. About 1.5m is my expectation though in the end Tbone will still be pretty close.

With that numbers from the table yes. But with the initial title of his thread of 40M, no. It should end somewhere around 37M. Also, the Switch 2 reveal simply had delayed effect on the Switch 1. Not right away, but a week later. It will be interesting to see what baseline it will have, first till the release, and then after that till end of the year.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 17 April 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2