After doing better than expected last week the Switch drops down to 25k. I said before that it's possible the next decline could be somewhat delayed but it could also be fast due to marketing for the Switch 2 really ramping up so the Switch could consistently be sub 20k by May if this isn't another week 11 though consistently below 30k that month is probably more likely. The PS5 dropping below 9k again is rough and May in general is gonna be rough and potentially the worst month for the Japanese games market in a very long time. It'll be followed by a fantastic one though and June 2025 till the end of this decade should be a pretty strong period for it.
Also with how much of worldwide Switch sales Japan makes up it's likely already doing sub 100k a week worldwide currently so similar to how the 3DS sold a couple months before the Switch came out. With backwards compatibility being a factor this time there's a chance it starts selling worse than the 3DS did in 2017 later this year.
| Olivernintentoal said: Switch seems to be doing extremely well vs. Tbone's wild prediction. If the Switch sells ~2M total in 2025 (+1.3M) it will surpass Tbone's 2025 LTD predictions. I'm optimistic!
And Xenoblade X sold over 100k! I'm definitely going to have to get that game once I finally beat Xenoblade 3 |
With how the Switch 2 is trending 2m isn't really feasible. About 1.5m is my expectation though in the end Tbone will still be pretty close.
Last edited by Norion - on 17 April 2025
