PS5 Ships 59.3 Million Units as of March 2024

[XtremeBG]

PotentHerbs said:

I think your FY24 and FY29 projections are a bit high. But I agree with the rest. The only major factor would be Sony's flexibility on price cuts/promotions. It may be more on the production side this generation, but Sony's premium pricing strategy is also in effect for their hardware. 

Still, Sony does price cuts and promotions for a limited time. I wouldn't be surprised to see a minor but permanent price cut later this year. They also still have the PS5 Pro coming. That represented about 10% of the PS4's lifetime sales. 

Why ? First my prediction are about the calendar years not the fiscal ones, as I already point out in my previous comment. Second, the last year was almost 22M for the calendar year. 19-20M is normal decline, and with sales as they are going now maybe the pace is about for 18-19M however I expect the PS5 Pro to launch in the end of the year which may boost them by around 1-2M and therefore 19-20M range for the calendar year. Third, my projection of 2029 is not only for the year after PS6 launch (in the example here is end of 2028) but also for the years after that. So I expect sales somewhat better than PS4 after PS5 launched, so 10M with the 2029 included and the 2030 and 2031 or whatever year is discontinued (something like PS3 or PSP sales after successor's launch). Also I expect at least 1 price cut somewhere down the line. So my numbers are with price cut included.

Phenomajp13 said:

Some of your declines seem pretty pessitimic, didn't the PS5 sell around 21 million this past year? Sony themselves are predicting 18 million, which is a 3 million decline. Yet alot of your predictions are predicting 2 million declines for several years. Think we need to dail it back, let's see if it can reach 130.

It sold almost 22M in 2023 calendar year. And again I am talking about calendar years here not FY ones, so the prediction of 18M is slightly moved here. So 22M to 19-20M range for 2024 (with possible Pro model coming out in the holidays) is pretty realistic. Some of the declines I explained in the previous post why I think so. But yes, at this point I can't throw exact projection or prediction yet, But I think it will be somewhere there - a tad better than PS4, when all is said and done. Maybe 130, maybe little more than that.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 26 May 2024