Famitsu Sales: Week 47, 2023 (Nov 13 - Nov 19)

[XtremeBG]

I like Xbox, I like Playstaion. I can't say I am as big fan for the Nintendo systems as I am as for Xbox or PS. However I don't hate them or have some bad feelings for them. In fact I find Switch interesting system. Maybe even the most interesting Nintendo system for me personally. However what I like the most does not have anything to do with the sales projections I make. It simply has to do about the data we have at the time I am writing my predictions and also it has to do with the history of the other console's trajectory too. Of course Switch is different. That is what make it even more interesting to predict. And 3m to 3.5M range or even 3M if you want isn't a pessimistic prediction when you have 2022 year of 4.7M and when you are entering your 7th year on the market, knowing how the previous consoles performs in this point in their life. Decline from 4.7M to (3 to 3.5M) isn't enormous and it's about right for console declining every year by about the same percentage worldwide. It becomes pessimistic in comparison to what really happened after you have all the data for the entire year. 3M to 4M is pessimistic. However in the time I made it it wasn't pessimistic it was just normal cuz many systems in their 7th year drops even much more than 4.7M to the range of 3 to 3.5M. See DS, see Wii. If I wanted to really be pessimistic (at the moment of me doing the prediction, I could say 2M for example or if we have to equal the DS drop, then even 1.5M maybe. It is after the data we have after the year's over when it becomes pessimistic, because Switch had better year than normal console should have in it's 7th year and better weeks before the holidays than many of you expected too. Even if we have to ask everyone from those projectin 4 or 4.5M even they will tell that probably they expected a little bit weaker year of the months before november, and then the boost for the holidays which would put Switch to their 4 or 4.5M projections.

Also why if I want to sell the Switch sale badly (like @curl-6 says) or this alt. or my predictions are pessimistic every time, why I made the 25M projection for 2021 for Switch which even ended highball in the end (Switch finished with 24M), and why I gave range of 12 to 16M for worldwide for this year for the system (which Switch is looking like it will finish just in the middle of that) if I wanted to give pessimistic prediction or the Switch to sell badly ? Why I didn't gave 20M for 2021 or didn't gave 10M at max for this year for WW sales ? Why I didn't gave 2M for japan ? Why I am not giving the Switch 5M for next (calendar) year, instead I am giving around 10M If I want to make pessimistic predictions? And why the famous 15M to 18M prediction range for 2022 (if stock issues were not there for PS and xbox, however they ended being their, which imo resultet in a few milions more for Switch and a few milions lower for PS/XB) ended way closer (1M off) than many many people here projections were in the start of that year (20-23/24M) in the end ? And Why then it was even bigger fire of discussion about that, and everyone jumped on me, but when the year ended with 19M (much lower than anyone of the posters expected) no one called them out instead I was again the bad one ? (even though my projection was much closer to the reality than theirs, even without counting the "if" condition I put) ?

But even though I like PS and Xbox a little more than Nintendo, I am not highballing them when I make predictions for them too. I've made opinions on PS or xbox too that have ended on the low side too. I've made only 1 prediction about PS4 that was on the high side and it was because I (as many others) expected SONY to better handle the system after PS5 launch (and even 2019 and 2020) and allow the system to at least reach 130M. (or if the prices reached PS2 levels and Sony maintain the system as PS2 even reaching not that far from that system too). I can't remember having positive than normal projections for either PS5 or XBOX Series (or even XB1).

I want everyone who is agreeing with @Phenomajp13 or even some of comments @curl-6 made for me to answer on every question of this post here. Let's see how am I pessimistic always or how I want the Switch to sell badly based on the things I've written here ? Common I dare you.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 21 December 2023