jvmkdg said:
trunkswd said:
Circana tracks like 97% of the US market so they have all the data. They just don't always reveal the sales numbers or provide enough information to be able to get with in a few % of the actual numbers.
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Sony and Nintendo released their data until the end of June with 80.3 million for the PS5 and the Switch 1 at 153.10 million, so you can get an idea of the number until the end of August, but the Xbox numbers are difficult to know
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Those numbers have very little relevance to each other actually for several different reasons.
1. Those numbers (153.10 for Switch & 80.3 for PS5) are shipped/sold ie shipped consoles to retailers while August Circana numbers are estimating sold to consumers numbers.
2. Those numbers don't even fit the same time. As you stated, those numbers for Switch and PS5 are as of June 30th 2025, while August Circana numbers are after this period. Of course some of those shipped consoles will be sold to consumers in August 2025 but there really isn't much of a Direct relationship here that could help us determine how many consoles were sold in August besides just using these figures to predict what we think which seems impossible.
Long story short, the fiscal year prediction for both might be better at predicting August Circana because it atleast covers this period (it covers the entire fiscal year) and you would just need to predict how much per quarter a console ships (alittle easier since Q1 has already been revealed and Q3 is a holiday quarter so will have a large percentage of the entire fiscal year result). Ofcourse you still need to predict per region a console ships because August Circana only reports US along with Canada I think while a consoles quarterly shipments are global.
Basically yes its very difficult to predict August Circana without the reports.