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Forums - Sales - NSW2 Lifetime Sales

 

Lifetime hardware sales for Switch 2?

Under 25 million 1 0.81%
 
25.1 - 50 million 1 0.81%
 
50.1 - 75 million 7 5.65%
 
75.1 - 100 million 22 17.74%
 
100.1 - 125 million 49 39.52%
 
125.1 - 150 million 27 21.77%
 
150.1 - 175 million 13 10.48%
 
175.1 - 200 million 1 0.81%
 
200.1 - 250 million 1 0.81%
 
Over 250 million 2 1.61%
 
Total:124

“Over 250mil” is a rather bold prediction lol. I wonder who those two voters are?



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Voted for the 75-100 million range before the direct. Still think it will land there after.



Norion said:
LordGustang said:

I won't repeat myself since you obviously didn't read or chose to ignore things that I said.

What are you talking about? I clearly responded to what you said.

You very ignorantly said "A price cut wouldn't make it sell as well during covid", implying I said otherwise.

Despite me openly saying that the switch wouldn't sell as much during covid with just the price cut and non delayed games but it would sell better after the pandemic (2022 to present day). Again, your post is openly ignoring what I said or you didn't even read.



XtremeBG said:
Phenomajp13 said:

Do you believe there is any price it could have released at to help match Switch? 299.99? 399.99? I don't think there is anything they could do to help Switch 2 match Switch outside of something unforeseen, maybe blue ocean type innovative.

PS5 released at 499$ and it seemed high, but it's neck in neck with the PS4. So if Switch 1 should be what PS4 is for PS5 then 399$ should definitely increase the chances of Switch 2 matching the Switch 1. Just like PS5 is 100$ more than the PS4 and is matching it till this point (barely behind with 2-3M is nothing, and besides it will only get easier from now on for the PS5) of course the same 7-8 year lifecycle is needed however. With 299$ (in this time and age that is like 199$ price before) would almost surely pass the Switch 1.

Lmfao easier? Things could not be any harder for the ps5 now that the Switch 2 is coming.



XtremeBG said:
Phenomajp13 said:

Do you believe there is any price it could have released at to help match Switch? 299.99? 399.99? I don't think there is anything they could do to help Switch 2 match Switch outside of something unforeseen, maybe blue ocean type innovative.

PS5 released at 499$ and it seemed high, but it's neck in neck with the PS4. So if Switch 1 should be what PS4 is for PS5 then 399$ should definitely increase the chances of Switch 2 matching the Switch 1. Just like PS5 is 100$ more than the PS4 and is matching it till this point (barely behind with 2-3M is nothing, and besides it will only get easier from now on for the PS5) of course the same 7-8 year lifecycle is needed however. With 299$ (in this time and age that is like 199$ price before) would almost surely pass the Switch 1.

Are you saying if Switch 2 was 399.99, it would have helped it get close to Switch 1? I mean I'm not fully out on Switch 2 getting close to Switch 1, I just struggle to see what will Nintendo release to counterpunch Animal Crossing and Covid. Animal Crossing and a Pro w/ an Oled screen will give a big boost but then again Switch 1 got an Oled model that boosted sales. PS4 to PS5 isn't quite a perfect comparison because PS4 sold far less making it far easier to repeat for PS5. We aren't asking PS5 to match PS2 which is equivalent to Switch 1.



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Phenomajp13 said:

Are you saying if Switch 2 was 399.99, it would have helped it get close to Switch 1? I mean I'm not fully out on Switch 2 getting close to Switch 1, I just struggle to see what will Nintendo release to counterpunch Animal Crossing and Covid. Animal Crossing and a Pro w/ an Oled screen will give a big boost but then again Switch 1 got an Oled model that boosted sales. PS4 to PS5 isn't quite a perfect comparison because PS4 sold far less making it far easier to repeat for PS5. We aren't asking PS5 to match PS2 which is equivalent to Switch 1.

As I said, it's too early to call that and do a prediction for a system which isn't out yet. But yes if Nintendo plays it's card right, with 399$ price it would be way closer to Switch 1, then it will be with 449$ cuz I think that 399$ is not just 50$ difference but a mental limit for many too. I don't know if they will do price cuts too. This will play a big role in the long term performance. What games it will have is still unknown but in the example of going after the Switch 1 sales performance of course it will need the best ones that can possibly come out for the system. OLED and Lite models are almost sure in the future. I am comparing PS5 to PS4 because the successor (PS5) is neck in neck in sales with the PS4 to this moment. I am not including the pure sales numbers at all here, just the neck in neck case. The same I can see with 399$ Switch 2 and of course, the proper marketing, software and everything needed to get the Switch 2 selling the best it can and to be neck in neck with the Switch 1 launch aligned. At 449$ I think it will trail behind. At 299$ it could even start outselling it from the start.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

XtremeBG said:
Phenomajp13 said:

Are you saying if Switch 2 was 399.99, it would have helped it get close to Switch 1? I mean I'm not fully out on Switch 2 getting close to Switch 1, I just struggle to see what will Nintendo release to counterpunch Animal Crossing and Covid. Animal Crossing and a Pro w/ an Oled screen will give a big boost but then again Switch 1 got an Oled model that boosted sales. PS4 to PS5 isn't quite a perfect comparison because PS4 sold far less making it far easier to repeat for PS5. We aren't asking PS5 to match PS2 which is equivalent to Switch 1.

As I said, it's too early to call that and do a prediction for a system which isn't out yet. But yes if Nintendo plays it's card right, with 399$ price it would be way closer to Switch 1, then it will be with 449$ cuz I think that 399$ is not just 50$ difference but a mental limit for many too. I don't know if they will do price cuts too. This will play a big role in the long term performance. What games it will have is still unknown but in the example of going after the Switch 1 sales performance of course it will need the best ones that can possibly come out for the system. OLED and Lite models are almost sure in the future. I am comparing PS5 to PS4 because the successor (PS5) is neck in neck in sales with the PS4 to this moment. I am not including the pure sales numbers at all here, just the neck in neck case. The same I can see with 399$ Switch 2 and of course, the proper marketing, software and everything needed to get the Switch 2 selling the best it can and to be neck in neck with the Switch 1 launch aligned. At 449$ I think it will trail behind. At 299$ it could even start outselling it from the start.

Wait you aren't expecting Switch 2 to be ahead for now despite the 449.99 pricing? I think that is bold. Switch 2 should have a far larger launch just because of better stock alone. I expect Switch 2 to be ahead until maybe Animal Crossing and Covid honestly. Switch 2018 dropped the ball alittle due to Labo. Switch 2 could get a Mario movie boost around that time launch aligned. 

Edit:I forgot to mention the whole tariff thing. It's only 90 days for now and I'm sure some consumers would fear everything going right back up. That could push some people to upgrading faster. 



LordGustang said:
Norion said:

What are you talking about? I clearly responded to what you said.

You very ignorantly said "A price cut wouldn't make it sell as well during covid", implying I said otherwise.

Despite me openly saying that the switch wouldn't sell as much during covid with just the price cut and non delayed games but it would sell better after the pandemic (2022 to present day). Again, your post is openly ignoring what I said or you didn't even read.

Accusing me of ignorance when you completely misinterpreted what I said and accused me of saying something I didn't is quite something. I was clearly responding to you saying that a price cut and less game delays would make up for it selling less in 2020-2021 in a non-covid world by selling better 2022 onward by pointing out that a more gradual decline wouldn't make up the difference since the Switch's YoY declines since 2020 haven't been that large.

Last edited by Norion - on 14 April 2025

75-100 million is what I think right now.



Phenomajp13 said:

Wait you aren't expecting Switch 2 to be ahead for now despite the 449.99 pricing? I think that is bold. Switch 2 should have a far larger launch just because of better stock alone. I expect Switch 2 to be ahead until maybe Animal Crossing and Covid honestly. Switch 2018 dropped the ball alittle due to Labo. Switch 2 could get a Mario movie boost around that time launch aligned. 

Edit:I forgot to mention the whole tariff thing. It's only 90 days for now and I'm sure some consumers would fear everything going right back up. That could push some people to upgrading faster. 

I haven't talked about the launch or some months, but overall, over the course of time, over the long term in general. Of course it is possible to outsell the Switch 1 at launch or at given months. It may outsell it from time to time, for some big game launch or maybe some of the first holidays, but overall I think it will be tracking behind the Switch 1 at that 449$ price, let alone if they raise it to 500$.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2