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Forums - Sales - Japan Consoles Showdown 2025: Nov 30th

 

Who will sell more in 2026 in Japan?

PS5 6 31.58%
 
Switch 1 13 68.42%
 
Total:19

Data has been updated with week 20 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

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Data has been updated with week 21 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data and charts have been updated with week 22 from Famitsu.

  • I removed the PSP competitor for the Switch, since Switch is obviously not doing 2M this year in Japan. It was way far away from the PSP line, and it's sales should drop even further, therefore the PS3'10 (1.55M) is a lot more closer competitor.
Last edited by XtremeBG - on 12 June 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 23 from Famitsu. Data has been adjusted with the VGChartz one until end of May.

I changed the first one, from Switch vs Switch 2, to Switch & PS5 vs Switch 2, since Switch 2 did almost a Million in it's launch week, let alone what it will do till end of the year. In order for that competition to be somewhat closer (probably it won't but still), I decided to add the PS5 numbers too, and also I decided to add the first real week of that year to those numbers as well, where Switch did 109k and PS5 did 46k. This is the proper way it should've been for all of the comparisons, however as I stated some posts ago, I strictly follow VGChartz timing about weeks and months (who follow NPD weeks and months), therefore that week ending Jan 4th goes to the last year comparisons since it's goes for the last year in the VGChartz data, but I am making exception here for that comparison alone, since NSW2 wasn't here in that first week, and I also want to have the biggest possible competition from this year, not prior one as it's launches in the middle of the year.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 13 June 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

XtremeBG said:

Data has been updated with week 23 from Famitsu.

Data has been adjusted with the VGChartz one until end of May.

  • I changed the first one, from Switch vs Switch 2, to Switch & PS5 vs Switch 2, since Switch 2 did almost a Million in it's launch week, let alone what it will do till end of the year. In order for that competition to be somewhat closer (probably it won't but still), I decided to add the PS5 numbers too, and also I decided to add the first real week of that year to those numbers as well, where Switch did 109k and PS5 did 46k. This is the proper way it should've been for all of the comparisons, however as I stated some posts ago, I strictly follow VGChartz timing about weeks and months (who follow NPD weeks and months), therefore that week ending Jan 4th goes to the last year comparisons since it's goes for the last year in the VGChartz data, but I am making exception here for that comparison alone, since NSW2 wasn't here in that first week, and I also want to have the biggest possible competition from this year, not prior one as it's launches in the middle of the year.

Wouldn't Switch 2017 vs Switch 2 2025 make more sense? Or are Switch + PS5 2025 expected to go higher than Switch 1 2017?



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Bofferbrauer2 said:

Wouldn't Switch 2017 vs Switch 2 2025 make more sense? Or are Switch + PS5 2025 expected to go higher than Switch 1 2017?

Yes, but I want to see where the Switch 2 will go. If it settles back to a baseline of 40-50k weekly I will leave it vs PS5+NSW since it will be relatively close. If it does more I will put it to the Switch 2017 year, or anything similar.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 13 June 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 24 from Famitsu. New poll was added, vote now!



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 25 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 26 from Famitsu.
Since NPD (and VGChartz) put 5 weeks for June, the charts will be updated after the data for the next week is up.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Data has been updated with week 27 from Famitsu.

  • XBOX Series vs Xbox 360 '12 (72k)

was changed to 

  • XBOX Series vs PS3 '16 (55k)

I had to do this some time ago, but I wanted to see if the XBSX pace will change .. I wanted to changed that to something more possible for the XBSX current pace which would be something like 35-40k, but there is no such a system, therefore the closest one is the PS3 in it's 2016 year with 55k.

  • Nintendo Switch 2 vs NSW + PS5 2025

was changed to:

  • Nintendo Switch 2 vs NSW '19 (4.45M) vs NSW '20 (6.4M)

With the launch weeks it became clear that the Switch 2 has reached new records, and is chasing new ones for a launch year. That's why the launch years of consoles such as Switch 1 (3.3M) or even the 3DS (4.3M), seems like low ball for it. At this time 4.3M may not seem that low, but when we look at the number 3DS did that year, the only competition for the Switch 2 pace may be the holidays (even that is debatable). The normal weeks were anything between 50k and 20k for the first half and 50k and 70k for the second half of that year after the price cut. The Switch 2 pace is much more stronger. Therefore it needs a challenge. The NSW '19 year is keeping very close for the moment, but it will also be left behind once Switch 2 continue it's pace of sales over 100k for the following months, since NSW had weeks between 40k and 70k until the Lite released. If that record pace continue only the peak year of the Switch 1 can hold a candle to the Switch 2 this year which sits at 6.4M. The most weeks of that year were between 70k and 120/130k. Let's see how big of a challenge that will turn out for the Switch 2 till end of the year. I personally expect final numbers of anything between 5 and 6M but won't be surprised if it blows past the 6M number and even beat the peak Switch 1 year, when taking in matter the record breaking launch, the record weeks that continues to do, and the high chance of also record breaking holiday period as well. I have never had any doubts about beating the NSW1 or both PS5 and NSW1 in 2025 year with the initial comparisons, however I expected catching up and especially going far higher than their combined level (since this is when I change the comparisons) to take more time, and because of that, that to be the comparison for this year. And then to put more challenging competitors for the new system starting from next year, but it seems Switch 2 is hungry for competition right out of the gate. Let's give it one!

    Last edited by XtremeBG - on 10 July 2025

    My primary threads:

    Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

    Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

    Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2