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Forums - Sales Discussion - JAPAN Consoles Showdown 2024: Dec. 15th

 

Will the Switch in Japan beat the XBSX US+EU?

Yes 17 70.83%
 
No 7 29.17%
 
Total:24
XtremeBG on 31 December 2023

This is the JAPAN Console Showdown comparison thread for 2024.

It will be only for the JAPAN region, and will be the only sales thread from me, that will be updated weekly since the site is updating the worldwide numbers monthly instead of weekly.

To be able to update them weekly I will put the Famitsu numbers each week, and when VGCharts releases estimated ones, I will adjust them with those numbers, because the competitor's numbers are VGCharts estimated and not Famitsu ones, and therefore it is more fair to compare them to the numbers from the same place, and at the same time.

The battles for this year for JAPAN are as follows:

  • Nintendo Switch 2024 vs XBSX 2024 US+EU
  • Nintendo Switch vs NDS'10 (2.9M)
  • PlayStation 5 vs PlayStation 4'16 (2M)
  • XBOX Series vs XB360'11 (115K)

*The target for all of the comparisons is to be as close as possible (and with that to give us better perspective where the given console is going this year) and to have good chance of finishing close in the end. Therefore if some of the contenders go way far one from another then, the contender's year, or even the contender itself may change so that it suits better to the given's console performance in 2024. Other thing is also I would not repeat main competitor (on the tables) from the year before from my thread, so even if it's a good fit, I would always look for a different one, so it's always new and fresh.*

2024 Nintendo Switch JAPAN vs XBSX'24 US+EU Comparison

Week/Month '24 XBSX - Weekly '24 XBSX - Yearly '24 NSW - Weekly '24 NSW - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 76,066 76,066 104,566 104,566 +28,500 +28,500
2 61,735 137,801 46,618 151,184 -15,117 +13,383
3 59,687 197,488 43,708 194,892 -15,979 -2,596
4 61,365 258,853 46,448 241,340 -14,917 -17,513
5 66,551 325,404 41,978 283,318 -24,573 -42,086
February 63,147 388,551 49,558 332,876 -13,589 -55,675
7 65,328 453,879 48,407 381,283 -16,921 -72,596
8 67,576 521,455 50,898 432,181 -16,678 -89,274
9 68,855 590,310 62,544 494,725 -6,311 -95,585
March 61,767 652,077 65,931 560,656 +4,164 -91,421
11 57,821 709,898 42,904 603,560 -14,917 -106,338
12 57,149 767,047 60,839 664,399 +3,690 -102,648
13 55,600 822,647 57,546 721,945 +1,946 -100,702
April 56,535 879,182 71,961 793,906 +15,426 -85,276
15 41,875 921,057 71,286 865,192 +29,411 -55,865
16 42,844 963,901 64,295 929,487 +21,451 -34,414
17 39,114 1,003,015 59,068 988,555 +19,954 -14,460
May 38,724 1,041,739 41,047 1,029,602 +2,323 -12,137
19 41,022 1,082,761 47,078 1,076,680 +6,056 -6,081
20 42,052 1,124,813 40,718 1,117,398 -1,334 -7,415
21 45,965 1,170,778 48,047 1,165,445 +2,082 -5,333
22 46,816 1,217,594 49,003 1,214,448 +2,187 -3,146
June 44,252 1,261,846 53,359 1,267,807 +9,107 +5,961
24 48,591 1,310,437 38,531 1,306,338 -10,060 -4,099
25 51,057 1,361,494 38,217 1,344,555 -12,840 -16,939
26 52,243 1,413,737 46,278 1,390,833 -5,965 -22,904
July 53,492 1,467,229 52,736 1,443,569 -756 -23,660
28 59,249 1,526,478 53,521 1,497,090 -5,728 -29,388
29 89,938 1,616,416 66,518 1,563,608 -23,420 -52,808
30 86,482 1,702,898 59,598 1,623,206 -26,884 -79,692
31 84,402 1,787,300 57,768 1,680,974 -26,634 -106,326
August 57,435 1,844,735 72,773 1,753,747 +15,338 -90,988
33 52,118 1,896,853 54,441 1,808,188 +2,323 -88,665
34 50,496 1,947,349 42,972 1,851,160 -7,524 -96,189
35 54,069 2,001,418 63,665 1,914,825 +9,596 -86,593
September 46,267 2,047,685 67,486 1,982,311 +21,219 -65,374
37 44,865 2,092,550 50,586 2,032,897 +5,721 -59,653
38 44,146 2,136,696 52,367 2,085,264 +8,221 -51,432
39 45,868 2,182,564 74,364 2,159,628 +28,496 -22,936
October 49,372 2,231,936 63,821 2,223,449 +14,449 -8,487
41 50,962 2,282,898 55,097 2,278,546 +4,135 -4,352
42 60,784 2,343,682 58,866 2,337,412 -1,918 -6,270
43 69,983 2,413,665 67,736 2,405,148 -2,247 -8,517
44 66,504 2,480,169 60,104 2,465,252 -6,400 -14,917
November 64,012 2,529,264
46 62,158 2,591,422
47 69,135 2,660,557
48 91,701 2,752,258
December 80,423 2,832,681
50 99,382 2,932,063
51
52

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2010 Nintendo DS vs 2024 Nintendo Switch Comparison

Week/Month 10' DS - Weekly '10 DS - Yearly '24 NSW - Weekly '24 NSW - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 110,547 110,547 104,566 104,566 -5,981 -5,981
2 63,689 174,236 46,618 151,184 -17,071 -23,052
3 51,542 225,778 43,708 194,892 -7,834 -30,886
4 72,429 298,207 46,448 241,340 -25,981 -56,867
5 54,551 352,758 41,978 283,318 -12,573 -69,440
February 52,242 405,000 49,558 332,876 -2,684 -72,124
7 46,256 451,256 48,407 381,283 +2,151 -69,973
8 46,798 498,054 50,898 432,181 +4,100 -65,873
9 45,573 543,627 62,544 494,725 +16,971 -48,902
March 40,569 584,196 65,931 560,656 +25,362 -23,540
11 40,975 625,171 42,904 603,560 +1,929 -21,611
12 45,553 670,724 60,839 664,399 +15,286 -6,325
13 42,160 712,884 57,546 721,945 +15,386 +9,061
April 36,923 749,807 71,961 793,906 +35,038 +44,099
15 31,626 781,433 71,286 865,192 +39,660 +83,759
16 31,143 812,576 64,295 929,487 +33,152 +116,911
17 45,371 857,947 59,068 988,555 +13,697 +130,608
May 45,466 903,413 41,047 1,029,602 -4,419 +126,189
19 28,446 931,859 47,078 1,076,680 +18,632 +144,821
20 26,518 958,377 40,718 1,117,398 +14,200 +159,021
21 28,757 987,134 48,047 1,165,445 +19,290 +178,311
22 20,331 1,007,465 49,003 1,214,448 +28,672 +206,983
June 22,397 1,029,862 53,359 1,267,807 +30,962 +237,945
24 52,736 1,082,598 38,531 1,306,338 -14,205 +223,740
25 66,881 1,149,479 38,217 1,344,555 -28,664 +195,076
26 54,859 1,204,338 46,278 1,390,833 -8,581 +186,495
July 50,087 1,254,425 52,736 1,443,569 +2,649 +189,144
28 46,576 1,301,001 53,521 1,497,090 +6,945 +196,089
29 45,955 1,346,956 66,518 1,563,608 +20,563 +216,652
30 44,428 1,391,384 59,598 1,623,206 +15,170 +231,822
August 42,468 1,433,852 57,768 1,680,974 +15,300 +247,122
32 57,872 1,491,724 72,773 1,753,747 +14,901 +262,023
33 45,031 1,536,755 54,441 1,808,188 +9,410 +271,433
34 38,911 1,575,666 42,972 1,851,160 +4,061 +275,494
35 37,823 1,613,489 63,665 1,914,825 +25,842 +301,336
September 38,311 1,651,800 67,486 1,982,311 +29,175 +330,511
37 83,767 1,735,567 50,586 2,032,897 -33,181 +297,330
38 86,931 1,822,498 52,367 2,085,264 -34,564 +262,766
39 56,299 1,878,797 74,364 2,159,628 +18,065 +280,831
October 50,618 1,929,415 63,821 2,223,449 +13,203 +294,034
41 46,141 1,975,556 55,082 2,278,531 +8,941 +302,975
42 33,226 2,008,782 58,853 2,337,384 +25,627 +328,602
43 51,689 2,060,471 67,724 2,405,108 +16,035 +344,637
44 37,693 2,098,164 60,096 2,465,204 +22,403 +367,040
November 32,347 2,130,511 64,012 2,529,216 +31,665 +398,705
46 40,573 2,171,084 62,158 2,591,374 +21,585 +420,290
47 51,781 2,222,865 69,135 2,660,509 +17,354 +437,644
48 76,125 2,298,990 91,701 2,752,210 +15,576 +453,220
December 113,152 2,412,142 80,423 2,832,633 -32,729 +420,491
50 149,426 2,561,568 99,382 2,932,015 -50,044 +370,447
51 203,231 2,764,799
52 107,484 2,872,283

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2016 PlayStation 4 vs. 2024 PlayStation 5 Comparison

Week/Month  16'PS4 - Weekly '16 PS4 - Yearly '24 PS5 - Weekly '24 PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 37,474 37,474 41,143 41,143 +3,669 +3,669
2 26,102 63,576 36,521 77,664 +10,419 +14,088
3 24,821 88,397 57,919 135,583 +33,098 +47,186
4 32,667 121,064 49,959 185,542 +17,292 +64,478
5 31,740 152,804 34,497 220,039 +2,757 +67,235
February 26,451 179,255 40,754 260,793 +14,303 +81,538
7 28,667 207,922 38,223 299,016 +9,556 +91,094
8 26,405 234,327 33,511 332,527 +7,106 +98,200
9 28,232 262,559 48,079 380,606 +19,847 +118,047
March 27,093 289,652 39,078 419,684 +11,985 +130,032
11 27,829 317,481 26,528 446,212 -1,301 +128,731
12 35,552 353,033 27,797 474,009 -7,755 +120,976
13 32,259 385,292 20,854 494,863 -11,405 +109,571
April 23,408 408,700 24,988 519,851 +1,580 +111,151
15 20,567 429,267 20,949 540,800 +382 +111,533
16 20,631 449,898 21,308 562,108 +677 +112,210
17 28,104 478,002 28,044 590,152 -60 +112,150
May 24,641 502,643 21,510 611,662 -3,131 +109,019
19 22,679 525,322 21,527 633,189 -1,152 +107,867
20 18,604 543,926 17,574 650,763 -1,030 +106,837
21 24,214 568,140 23,376 674,139 -838 +105,999
22 22,552 590,692 22,556 696,695 +4 +106,003
June 18,907 609,599 21,837 718,532 +2,930 +108,933
24 19,372 628,971 22,895 741,427 +3,523 +112,456
25 21,539 650,510 22,839 764,266 +1,300 +113,756
26 24,390 674,900 27,514 791,780 +3,124 +116,880
July 22,250 697,150 29,733 821,513 +7,483 +124,363
28 21,579 718,729 29,324 850,837 +7,745 +132,108
29 20,223 738,952 38,266 889,103 +18,043 +150,151
30 22,051 761,003 25,807 914,910 +3,756 +153,907
August 18,687 779,690 25,801 940,711 +7,114 +161,021
32 19,401 799,091 24,017 964,728 +4,616 +165,637
33 19,602 818,693 22,889 987,617 +3,287 +168,924
34 18,077 836,770 31,506 1,019,123 +13,429 +182,353
35 17,105 853,875 33,874 1,052,997 +16,769 +199,122
September 15,455 869,330 11,014 1,064,011 -4,441 +194,681
37 96,387 965,717 10,103 1,074,114 -86,284 +108,397
38 49,381 1,015,098 8,761 1,082,875 -40,620 +67,777
39 42,470 1,057,568 10,806 1,093,681 -31,664 +36,113
October 35,917 1,093,485 12,560 1,106,241 -23,357 +12,756
41 35,022 1,128,507 11,804 1,118,045 -23,218 -10,462
42 36,776 1,165,283 11,315 1,129,360 -25,461 -35,923
43 41,278 1,206,561 11,945 1,141,305 -29,333 -65,256
44 41,614 1,248,175 13,965 1,155,270 -27,649 -92,905
November 103,352 1,351,527 88,160 1,243,430 -15,192 -108,097
46 47,375 1,398,902 23,672 1,267,102 -23,703 -131,800
47 51,079 1,449,981 25,573 1,292,675 -25,506 -157,306
48 128,157 1,578,138 38,160 1,330,835 -89,997 -247,303
December 105,990 1,684,128 50,365 1,381,200 -55,625 -302,928
50 87,026 1,771,154 21,574 1,402,774 -65,452 -368,380
51 114,390 1,885,544
52 97,955 1,983,499

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2011 XBOX 360 vs. 2024 Xbox Series Comparison

Week/Month '11 XB360 - Weekly '11 XB360 - Yearly '24 XBSX - Weekly '24 XBSX - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 4,373 4,373 704 704 -3,669 -3,669
2 2,913 7,286 1,173 1,877 -1,740 -5,409
3 2,931 10,217 1,897 3,774 -1,034 -6,443
4 3,608 13,825 3,912 7,686 +304 -6,139
5 2,590 16,415 3,186 10,872 +596 -5,543
February 2,628 19,043 3,101 13,973 +473 -5,070
7 2,561 21,604 1,655 15,628 -906 -5,976
8 4,918 26,522 3,120 18,748 -1,798 -7,774
9 2,380 28,902 2,358 21,106 -22 -7,796
March 1,943 30,845 3,752 24,858 +1,809 -5,987
11 1,339 32,184 1,503 26,361 +164 -5,823
12 1,620 33,804 1,364 27,725 -256 -6,079
13 1,615 35,419 1,381 29,106 -234 -6,313
April 1,943 37,362 2,119 31,225 +176 -6,137
15 1,918 39,280 2,622 33,847 +704 -5,433
16 1,871 41,151 2,797 36,644 +926 -4,507
17 3,702 44,853 2,872 39,516 -830 -5,337
May 3,213 48,066 2,471 41,987 -742 -6,079
19 2,707 50,773 4,456 46,443 +1,749 -4,330
20 2,021 52,794 2,573 49,016 +552 -3,778
21 2,123 54,917 2,104 51,120 -19 -3,797
22 2,080 56,997 3,255 54,375 +1,175 -2,622
June 1,972 58,969 2,194 56,569 +222 -2,400
24 2,697 61,666 1,378 57,947 -1,319 -3,719
25 2,023 63,689 965 58,912 -1,058 -4,777
26 2,080 65,769 1,601 60,513 -479 -5,256
July 1,983 67,752 2,005 62,518 +22 -5,234
28 1,675 69,427 766 63,284 -909 -6,143
29 1,551 70,978 4,743 68,027 +3,192 -2,951
30 1,804 72,782 5,692 73,719 +3,888 +937
August 1,450 74,232 4,347 78,066 +2,897 +3,834
32 1,743 75,975 3,839 81,905 +2,096 +5,930
33 1,278 77,253 601 82,506 -677 +5,253
34 1,177 78,430 259 82,765 -918 +4,335
35 1,039 79,469 782 83,547 -257 +4,078
September 983 80,452 1,488 85,035 +505 +4,583
37 1,052 81,504 682 85,717 -370 +4,213
38 3,926 85,430 603 86,320 -3,323 +890
39 2,072 87,502 563 86,883 -1,509 -619
October 1,438 88,940 359 87,242 -1,079 -1,698
41 1,905 90,845 425 87,667 -1,480 -3,178
42 1,555 92,400 4,438 92,105 +2,883 -295
43 1,649 94,049 1,201 93,306 -448 -743
44 1,616 95,665 2,610 95,916 +994 +251
November 1,582 97,247 2,405 98,321 +823 +1,074
46 1,799 99,046 3,070 101,391 +1,271 +2,345
47 1,667 100,713 2,657 104,048 +990 +3,335
48 1,631 102,344 4,336 108,384 +2,705 +6,040
December 3,039 105,383 3,006 111,390 -33 +6,007
50 3,193 108,576 1,913 113,303 -1,280 +4,727
51 4,075 112,651
52 2,308 114,959

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Last edited by XtremeBG - 3 days ago

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

Around the Network
Bofferbrauer2 on 31 December 2023

Aaand subscribed!



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

hellobion2 on 02 January 2024

PS5 show no mercy do not hesitate. Defeat the Nintendo we must.



BiON!@ 

Eagle367 on 07 January 2024

Nippon showdown



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

Qwark on 08 January 2024

PS5 will lose all its battles I fear



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Around the Network
Shtinamin_ on 08 January 2024

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

XBOX Series does not beat XBOX 360'08 but does beat XBOX 360'11

  • XBOX Series 170k


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

XtremeBG on 08 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!

There is no bias here. The comparisons are made from what is the natural way of continuing the sales from 2023 according to every console life and performance to date. If PS underperforms I will of course change it's competitor to weaker one. If Switch is better than it's competitors, I can change it as well. But the chances of Switch making more than 3M this year giving the big declines in Japan lately is not very likely.

For PS5 the most likely period of doing more than it's 2023, is now - 2024, when the Switch 2 won't be a factor for the most of the year, and where there won't be big competition (as Switch sales for example the last few years). That's why it's only natural for the PS5 to be able to reach higher numbers than it's 2023. Again if it fails I can and will change it's comparison accordingly.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

Norion on 08 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

There's no way the PS5 is beating the PSP'10, let alone getting to 3.3m. With pent up demand fulfilled and it getting a price increase everything points to it being down this year. It'll be surprising if it sells more than 2m again considering the PS4 never did that.



XtremeBG on 08 January 2024

Okay, maybe there is a point here. I changed the PS comparison to:

  • PlayStation 5 vs PSP'06 (1.85M) vs PSP'07 (3.05M)

Let's see if PS5 will have tough time this year reaching 3M in Japan, and low target - 1.85M.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

Norion on 08 January 2024
XtremeBG said:

Okay, maybe there is a point here. I changed the PS comparison to:

  • PlayStation 5 vs PSP'06 (1.85M) vs PSP'07 (3.05M)

Let's see if PS5 will have tough time this year reaching 3M in Japan, and low target - 1.85M.

That definitely makes more sense. I expect it'll be similar to the former.