120 million or a little more, main factors gta 6, more games at the end of their life, wolveriene, naught dog, santa monica still has games to be released this generation.

120 million too IMO.

I don't think 120m+ is unreasonable.... I think it can outsell the PS4.

Vote here, who hasn't until now, and write your updated opinions for the lifetime sales, with the new figure - 84.2M shipped.

Sticking With my original prediction of over 150 million. 

I would like to change my vote. I used to say 110-120M but now I would say 120-130M

I’m changing to 130-140mil. Seems that Sony has had a change of heart.

https://x.com/Genki_JPN/status/1988200080101569014

Further evidence that the next transition will be slower. And it just makes sense.

PS4's life (hardware) was cut short by Sony who initially intended to convert PS4 players to PS5 as fast as possible. But the console's active players remained so strong several years into the generation. So the next transition will take these changes into account.

"New hardware sales" is no longer Sony's highest priority. Their highest priority is sustaining and expanding on their active playerbase across all consoles. So between:

Scenario 1) PS6 sells 40 million in 2 years. Combined monthly active users at 115 million. Lower revenue and profitability.

Scenario 2) PS6 sells 25 million in 2 years. Combined monthly activen users at 135 million. Higher revenue and profitability.

Sony would take the 2nd scenario in a heartbeat.

Historically, there has been a link between new console sales and platform success. But this link is weakening, and many players continue to game on old consoles, particularly PS4.

The PS6 hardware might have a weaker start but potentially longer legs than PS5, which in turn may have stronger late life sales than PS4, whose production was ended too early.

Feels like PS5 will sell anywhere between 120-140 million units when all is said and done.

You make a good point.

130ish. With the GTA6 delay to later in the gen and with XB no longer a real factor for Sony 2 things should happen.

XB folks migrate over to PS5 over the remainder of the gen.
GTA6 boosting sales late gen due to the fact that the PS5 will be the best and most affordable place to play it.

By end of FY it will be at 90 million im guessing. That gives Sony 5 years to sell another 40 million, in that 5 years we should see some 1st party bangers in addition to gta6. So to me 130 million is very possible for ps5.