The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

[XtremeBG]

TheRealSamusAran said:

Hmmm. Why are we not even considering a scenario where sales might stabilize in the post replacement years, like it happened with that other console that magically sold another 5M units in its final year?

Maybe because that has only been done once (out of like more than 50 tries - over 50 consoles releases for sure) and the chance for this to happen again are little to none. And maybe because it's not looking like it's gonna happen. From fiscal year of 10.8M shipments to a year of 3.8M shipments, to year of very like under 2M. If it was going to happen it would either be less of a drop, or it would already hold on to one level since last year. Data shows otherwise.

Edit: it's not magically sold, given the circumstances, it was normal. Read my post here: Explanation of 5M in last year

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 12 May 2026