The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

[XtremeBG]

CourageTCD said:

I see. I really would like to see a comparison between the forecast numbers for DS shipments for every year after the 3DS release and the actual shipments the DS managed to pull out

FY 2011 (April 2010 - March 2011): Forecast - 23.5M, result - 17.5M

FY 2012 (April 2011 - March 2012): Forecast - 9M, result - 5.1M

FY 2013 (April 2012 - March 2013): Forecast - 2.5M, result - 2.35M

FY 2014 (April 2013 - March 2014): Forecast - 200k, result - 130k

If Switch's final fiscal years have drops such as those last few fiscal years of the DS, then Switch 1 is cooked. The first big drop is from 15.70 to 10.80. The next one is now, from almost 11M to just 4M. If that doesn't change, then we will have fiscal year ending March 2027 of something like 1.5M

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 23 April 2026