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CosmicSex said:
For sure on the dependencies but I feel that 2026 will be 20 million.  And then 2027 will be a larger decline.  Like 12.5 million.

2026 - 20.0 m

2027 - 12.5 m

2028 - 6.5 m

2029 - 3.5 m

2030 - 1.5 m

Total - 135 million which exceeds my prediction by at least 5 million units... nut im okay with that until we get their next predictions.   That will tell us a lot 

I think PS5 can do anything between 16 and 18M this year, because of GTA VI. Not as high as 20.

2027 shouldn't be such a drop however. It should be something like 2019 year for the PS4. 14 to 15M.

2028 if that is the year of the PS6, then 8M. If it's not I guess Sony should do some price cut by then, and have it sell at least 10-12M.

And by this point we get into predicting more when the next gen will launch than the sales it self .. 

For the moment my prediction is around 130M lifetime. And if I have to bet, I would bet that PS6 is arriving in 2028.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2