Which System Will Ship More Units in Calendar Year 2025 Worldwide: Switch 2 or PS5?

[XtremeBG]

Honestly I don't know why this is even a question. Let put that 7 months on the side for a while. Even if Switch 2 had a full 12 months in this year and launched on January 1st, the odds are against it of outselling the PS5 for the whole year, because going historically no console has sold more than 17M and since PS2 data is shipments that one is 18.6M but as we all know the shipments are at least 2M more in the strong periods of the good selling consoles, so PS2 sold units were no more than 16.6M that year - 2001. Here is a list of the 5 best first full calendar years of consoles:

1. PS2 - around 16.6M - 18.6M shipments (2001)
2. Wii - 16.5M (2007)
3. Switch - 16.3M (2018)
4. PS4 - 14.1M (2014)
5. 3DS - 13.4M (2012)

So from that we can make some points.

1. The Switch 2 chances of outselling the full year of PS5 in 2025 are almost non existing.
2. The Switch 2 chances of outselling it even in 2026 are not that great either going by the history. It's not impossible, but it's not very likely either. It really depends on when GTA VI is releasing (I personally am sure that it will be 2026) and there is a decent chance PS5 still do a 16-18M sales in 2026 with that GTA VI release. Switch 2 has to be the best performing console and beat or at least be on the same level as PS2, Wii and Switch, and to do at least 16M year or even more in order to have a chance of beating the PS5 in 2026, so this is not a given. I am saying that cuz some people in the thread act like it's a 100% certainty, when it's really 50/50 or even 60/40 for the PS5.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 20 April 2025