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Shadow1980 said:

So, I'd probably give the Switch 2 a one-in-five chance of being the year's #1 system. Once we start getting actual data, though, I am willing to revise my stance. It is possible that the match-up could end up looking less than PS4 vs. NS1 2017 and more like PS4 vs. NS1 2018, which was really, really close (the PS4 won by only 300k globally). Perhaps the Switch 2 really could end up far outpacing the Switch 1, and/or the PS5 might have an unusually large year-over-year decline.

You mean fiscal year right ? Cuz calendar year, PS4 outsold it by almost 2M.

Other than that on the topic:

PS5. It has full year of sales, and even if GTA VI get's delayed to 2026 (which I strongly believe), it will still sold about 18M, and the Switch 2, even if it launches strong and have good sales, I can't see it doing 18M or even close to it in the second half of the year.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2