WIth the Europe December numbers it will be past 32M, so almost 8M left to reach 40M. If it declines less from here it can do it, but if the drops are the same or bigger, it won't reach it.
My primary threads:
Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021
Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart
Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX