By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

The reality that the Switch is dropping is not mystery to anyone. The question is more like will it reach the PS2? Not if it's dropping and by how much. For cliff to be there it needs to be high enough and to drop low enough. The Switch isn't high anymore worldwide to be possible for a cliff to appear. (or maybe from 10-11M in 2024 to 3M in 2025? but I don't see that happening). Maybe in Japan is possible. But seeing how strong is that market, I doubt it will do 1M or under, this year for there to be a cliff (from 3.1M in 2024) even with a successor's coming. US and Europe are done deal long ago. They were barely moving in 2024, except the holidays of course. There may be a decent December, but again - only the holidays. Other than that they were around 1.5M for the whole year till start of November. Which is a big drop from 2023 and the years before (close to 50%). Again, the question is how much it has in the tank, and will it be enough to reach 160M+ and to be out of the range of doubts the perfect target is 160.6M since it was confirmed by someone from Sony the number was legit. I personally don't think it will reach it and that's primary because I think Nintendo will launch the Switch 2 at a reasonable price, and because it won't do any price cuts on the Switch 1 current models. If it do or launch the Switch 2 at something too expensive, then of course Switch 1 will almost surely pass it because the sales won't drop as much.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 18 January 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2