PS5 Ships 59.3 Million Units as of March 2024

[XtremeBG]

PotentHerbs said:

Thinking about this some more, but the PS5 is almost guaranteed to outsell the PS4, as long as the PS6 launches in 2028. Here are some conservative projections: 

24: 17M 
25: 15M
26: 13M
27: 10M
28: 8M

Even taking a million units off for each of these FY's puts the PS5 right around the PS4. I think I'm lowballing 2025 and 2026 by quite a bit too. Don't forget, the tail end of the PS4's lifecycle was severely impacted by COVID and production issues, or it would be sitting comfortably above 120M+.

That's why I am also on the same opinion. PS4 may had good start and peak years, however after 2019 it wasn't so good, and it's drops were as big as Wii.

I personally would project the calendar years going ahead (suggesting 2028 PS6 launch) like this:

2024 - 19-20M

2025 - 18-20M (normally it should be slight decline here, however because of GTA V and the first full year of PS5 Pro on the market, I expect a little boost and with that to reach the previous year numbers)

2026 - 15-17M

2027 - 12-14M

2028 - 10-12M

2029 to end at least 10M more.

So even going with the worst case scenario here we get to almost 140M. The 26 and 27 years, may gone even lower if Sony do the mistake that they did with the PS5 announcement - doing it 2 full years before release (which resulted in taking some of the sales of the PS4 in 2018, 2019, and even some amount of 2020 imo). So if they don't announce the PS5 until the very same year it will launch, the win over PS4 is sure imo.