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It can go either way .. That's why I've made exactly that comparison in my sales thread, we will follow it closely through the whole year.
As it can go very easily in the one direction, where Switch sells 3M (having more steady decline) and PS5 sells close numbers to 2023 or even lower (2M), it can go the other way around as well, as Switch may drop like a rock to even under 2M and PS5 to continue it's peak in japan since there isn't strong competitor with saturation point not reached and reach or even pass 3M. This is the most unpredictable market out of the three. As I already stated however, most of my percentage believes of what will happen are going to number around 2M (maybe 2.5M at max) for the Switch, and that's why I would bet on that. PS5 really can't tell. 2M is big possibility, 3M is possibility as well, somewhere in the middle is possibility as well. I don't think it will go under 2M however, having 2023 performance in mind.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 12 January 2024

My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart