Famitsu Sales: Week 47, 2023 (Nov 13 - Nov 19)

[XtremeBG]

I have predicted before and in early this year 3 to 3.5M range. I was wrong. No doubt about that. However most of my other predictions came true. First was the famous 15 to 18M range for 2022 which I repeatedly written with an if factor. And that if factor was if PS5/XBSX were in full stock all the year. They weren't. And to me this thing would've surely move some sales of of the Switch to PS5/XB. Even with they not being in full stock my range came much closer than many predicted for this year ( I remeber very clearly how most of the predictions for 2022 were between 20 and 23/24M. My predicted range came short only by 1M even without my "if" coming to reality. Of course by around the half of the year when I saw the stock problem still persist I adjust it slightly to 18 to 20M range and I was exact on point. Even if we count this original prediction (15 to 18M range, even though it was with "if") as wrong it still was very close to the reality and still much closer than most of the other ones, I also had called 25M for 2021 for Switch. I was exactly on point. (it is 24M now, however before the adjustments the data we had Switch ended with 25M. the adjustments to 24M came almost year later. The next prediction I am on point is for this year 2023 for Switch making between 12 and 16M and I will be again on point. My prediction we can count as not coming true were the japan for 3 to 3.5M (500k off). Other 2 are on point. So all in all I can't be called bad predictor too. I have 2 out of 4 predictions on point. I have 1 off and 1 very debatable but just for not going into discussion again, even if I agree on calling it wrong, I was way closer than most of the people. Also bad predictor means you to be wayy of all of you predictions. on all of mines I have been either on point or only slightly off.

@Farsala I can't say I am the best predictor, I don't know who even can say is the best. However I don't think I am a bad either. I think I am a good one, and with the time when I make new and more predictions I will prove as a good one. (Since 4 isn't much)

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 20 December 2023