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Zippy6 said:

Based on what the PS5 has sold Jan-Nov I'm expecting it to finish this year at about 22.5m sales. I think this could be it's peak year which would be a year earlier than usual, but I also expect 2024 sales to be fairly similar, so just a mild decline. I think that dropping to ~17.5m would be pretty extreme. A ~23% drop YoY at that stage of a PlayStation's life would be very severe. Even a year later in 2018 the PS4 only dropped 8% from it's peak.

With generation continuing till 2028, 2023 can't be it's peak year. It will be at least at 2023 level however if they announce and launch PS5 Pro as the rumours are, it may even surpass the 2023 just like PS4's peak year was the year after the Pro launched - 2017. We have GTA 6 coming in 2025 too. So I think 2024 will be at least on par with 2023 for the PS5, and 2025 may have just a little decline in the sort of around 2-3M but again hovering around 20M for the year. 2026 is where declines may began, but again it is far too early to call, we don't know if and when will there be pricecuts, what games will launch, and much more.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2