Depends on what is your understanding of little less. Mine is around 200-300k.
But if you want exact ranges than fine. Between 4M and 4.5M. The high one will be little less than 2022. The lower one will be little more than 4M. If I give exact number I may be 100k or 200k off and then everyone will jump on me, like always, but not jump on anybody else, again like always. So I am thinking somewhere between 4M and possibly 4.3. But again even if it goes to 4.5M I won't be too wrong or so much far from the reality as you are making it look like (with this discussion) Now if you want more exact one, I already said it - little over 4M, which can be 4.2 or 4.3M which again won't be much less than 2022' 4.69M but a tiny less, evenmore with keeping in mind that we are one year later in the lifecycle for the system.
And also stop watching famitsu 4.8M number. We are on VGcharts. The number here for the 2022 sales is 4.69M. You can interpret little less as even 0.2k if you want. I interpret it as a portion/percentage of the whole number. And for number of 4.69M or 4M for me little less/little more is around 200-300k.
However I can say other thing. I am little bit conservative with Switch's sales so late in it's lifecycle (watching how many other platfroms dropping too quickly in around this time, that I don't want to make too high predictions for it ending up wrong.) Of course with ease I can say 5M, because as it is doing till this moment, and if it is continuing it's pace till end of the year (which in one normal sales pace it would mean nice holiday boost matching 2022 or even 2021 holidays numbers, then of course it can reach even 5M without a problem.) I just doubt it will happen so late in it's lifecycle. Because other than only PS2 no other console has done it (I mean continues high sales, for years late in the lifecycle). And since it's the 2nd console ever making good sales after it's peak period (for longer period too) It is still under question for me (and many other I suppose) how long will it continue, and what drop will it have going forward.
So I am not saying it is impossible or something. I am just saying I see it happening more in the way of finishing little more than 4M, than finishing let's say 5M (as it I would truly predict if those sales were in the year 2019 let's say - before switch's peak, but if it did the exact same numbers till this moment.)
Last edited by XtremeBG - on 05 September 2023
