By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - December Circana (NPD) 2024 Thread + Predictions

XtremeBG on 23 January 2025

When will the hardware data be available ?



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

Around the Network
trunkswd on 23 January 2025
Esparadrapo said:
trunkswd said:

In terms of dollar sales:

PS5 -18% YoY

NS and XS -38% YoY.

IF average selling price remained the same as last year (it definitely didn't) we get:

  1. PS5: 1,248,647
  2. NS: 803,366
  3. XS: 705,814

PS5 and Switch had better deals in Dec 2024 than the year before so sales for those should be higher than the raw % drop. Xbox had worse deals so sales should be worse than the raw % drop. Though for PS5 there is the PS5 Pro to take into account.

The split between digital editions seems relevant. Mat released data about this.

Yeah, I am taking that into account.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd on 23 January 2025
XtremeBG said:

When will the hardware data be available ?

I'm working on the Americas estimates right now. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Blood_Tears on 23 January 2025

Looks like PS5 coming in around 1.4M ish



Phenomajp13 on 23 January 2025

So Switch sold over 3.2 million this year in 2024? That's a pretty good hold compared to last year considering the massive advantages (Zelda ToTK and Mario Movie) and its pretty good overall especially at this age. Pretty sure PS platforms sale between 3 to 4 million most years besides the peak years. That should give you an idea of how good selling over 3 million for any playform is especially one thats about to be replaced. The way some people on the site act, you would think Switch is only still selling in Japan. Yet Switch sold more in US than Japan this year. Keep in mind, what Switch has sold in Japan is higher than all PS and Xbox consoles have sold in the US besides PS2, PS1, and Xbox 360. That's how absurd Switch is doing in Japan and Switch in the US hasnt collapsed at all.

Edit: This also serves a reminder to people that think you can just apply a random percentage decline without considering context. The biggest declines between 2023 and 2024 for Switch were seen during the launch of Zelda and Mario movie but as time went on those declines lessened because the affects of Zelda and Mario movie wore off. Switch 2024 vs 2025 may not see those major declines because nothing besides Nintendo Switch 2 could give 2024 that much of an advantage. I could even see some months being up due to 2025 having a far bigger game (Pokemon ZA) than 2024 had all year.

Last edited by Phenomajp13 - on 23 January 2025

Around the Network
Evilms on 23 January 2025

PS5 : ~ 1400 k
NSW : ~ 770 k
X/S : ~ 550 k



CosmicSex on 23 January 2025

PS5 with the increased digital share and the lower price puts it somewhere between 1300 and 1500K. So not bad result at all.



JRPGfan on 23 January 2025
trunkswd said:

In terms of dollar sales:

PS5 -18% YoY

NS and XS -38% YoY.

IF average selling price remained the same as last year (it definitely didn't) we get:

  1. PS5: 1,248,647
  2. NS: 803,366
  3. XS: 705,814

PS5 and Switch had better deals in Dec 2024 than the year before so sales for those should be higher than the raw % drop. Xbox had worse deals so sales should be worse than the raw % drop. Though for PS5 there is the PS5 Pro to take into account.

So PS5 is above at least 1,25m units, and xbox has to be below 705k ?



trunkswd on 23 January 2025
JRPGfan said:
trunkswd said:

In terms of dollar sales:

PS5 -18% YoY

NS and XS -38% YoY.

IF average selling price remained the same as last year (it definitely didn't) we get:

  1. PS5: 1,248,647
  2. NS: 803,366
  3. XS: 705,814

PS5 and Switch had better deals in Dec 2024 than the year before so sales for those should be higher than the raw % drop. Xbox had worse deals so sales should be worse than the raw % drop. Though for PS5 there is the PS5 Pro to take into account.

So PS5 is above at least 1,25m units, and xbox has to be below 705k ?

Numbers are live now. Finishing up the breakdown article right now.

For the US December 2024 estimates we have:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 1,361,063
  2. Switch - 822,177
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 590,307
  4. PlayStation 4 - 2,088


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

XtremeBG on 23 January 2025

-

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 23 January 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX