Data has been updated with week 37 from Famitsu.

Switch 2 has reach 2.04M in 15 weeks or ~3 months, or 102 days. By comparison to Switch it took them 34 weeks or ~8 months or 240 days to sell 2.02M. 

Switch 2 is on an opening high, let’s see if it can hold the line.

It has been averaging ~136k units per week, including its release month which took the bulk of sales. Since it’s cooled down a bit (I’m using Aug-Sept 14 data) it’s averaging ~42,970 per week. If this second average rate trend continues then by Nov 1 (as Nov-Dec I would consider holiday sales season) Switch 2 should be near 2.34M. And with the holiday season the first average will be taken, meaning by Dec 31, 2025 Switch 2 should be sitting close to 3.57M.

I think that the 20M from Bloomberg referred to FY’26 for Worldwide sales. And that included both Switch and Switch 2.

The Switch has been averaging ~27k per week. Since the release of its successor the Switch averages at 15,790/week. Using the second average up to Nov 1, Switch should reach 1.09M. And using the first average for the holiday season Switch by Dec 31, 2025 should be near 1.34M.

Compared to my analysis at the beginning of the year, seems like the Switch is doing poorly with higher than a 50% hardware sale drop since the release of the Switch 2.

PS5 averages 15.7k/week. Continuing the average by Dec 31, 2025 PS5 should reach a minimum of 833,641 (as the holiday season should have a higher average, but for now this will suffice).

I guess Xbox is “done for” considering it’s not being recorded on this forum. Or at least it’s considered irrelevant to the forum.

Honestly, its going to come down to supply. If Nintendo can produce 5 million for Japan alone, then yes, it will reach that. If they cannot, then no they will not. With that said, I voted yes.

Data has been updated with week 38 from Famitsu.

At this point, wouldn't comparing the PS5 to Wii U 2015 make more sense?

The Vita's 2016 would be more in line with the PS5 path, since it had weaker holiday, and slightly stronger months than the Wii U's 2015 non holiday ones which are also closer to what PS5 have this year. I just updated the graph. The table will remain with the PS3 '08 data for now. 

Data has been updated with week 39 from Famitsu.

Data has been updated with week 40 from Famitsu.
Chart have been updated with the month of September.

Data has been updated with week 41 from Famitsu.

Data has been updated with week 42 from Famitsu.

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