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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Should we consider Switch successor as 10th Gen?

 

Which Generation would you consider the Switch Successor?

9th Generation 21 36.21%
 
10th Generation 37 63.79%
 
Total:58

Nice post Pem.



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Of course it will be tenth generation in the established system. It's the successor to the ninth-gen Switch which was the successor to the eighth-gen 3DS and Wii U.

Nowadays even the proponents for classifying Switch as eighth gen have to agree that Switch belongs in the same generation as the PS5 and Xbox Series, because their popular main argument was that Switch will have spent more of its lifetime competing with the PS4 and XB1 than the PS5 and XS. Subsequently, Switch's successor will spend most of its lifetime competing against the PS6 and whatever's left of Xbox.

The real main reason why Switch was classified as eighth gen by many was that they wanted to hand Nintendo a loss in at least some form after Sony had to exit the handheld space. Since the argument that Nintendo had exited the home console space was unsustainable, the next best thing was to say that Nintendo lost so bad that they had to launch two consoles in the same generation.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.

Pemalite said:
Jumpin said:

Second generation hybrid, I’m assuming.

It would make it the third generation hybrid.

The WiiU was the first hybrid console that could play games dynamically across multiple different displays. (Built in mobile display and fixed TV).
It was range limited, but that is what makes it a first-generation attempt.
LUNAR

I look at it like Switch 1 should be 1st gen of hybrid hardware. I don't exactly agree with Wii U being considered a hybrid. It kinda is, but the way I see it, is that it was a transitionary half step between Wii and Switch. Wii U would kinda be its own thing.

Depends on how different Switch 2 will be, but so far the rumors sound like it's going to be a very similar full generational upgrade from Switch 1. That says to me that Wii U should be considered its own thing, or just left under home console still for simplicity.

That would leave us with separate console, handheld, and hybrid categories.

This could turn out to be extra useful if the rumors that XB and/or PS are getting more serious about another handheld are true, since it would seem extremely likely that if they seriously pursue handheld, that they'll do what little extra work needs to be done to make it a hybrid since it adds such a huge benefit to the hardware for little extra cost.

Next gen we could end up comparing PS6 to XBSXS2, as well as SW2 vs PS6P vs XBSH (handheld/hybrid). That's if SNY and MS gave us separate hardware numbers, so we'd have to wait and see.



Shtinamin_ said:

Ever since Nintendo's has gotten into the game console career. They have always been some of the later consoles to be released in a generation.

  1. First Gen: N/A
  2. Second Gen: N/A
  3. Third Gen: NES (Jul 15, 1983), Atari 7800 (May 1986), Sega Master System (Sept 1986)
  4. Fourth Gen: Sega Genesis (Aug 14, 1989), NEC Turbografx-16 (Aug 29, 1989), SNK Neo Geo (Apr 26, 1990), SNES (Nov 21, 1990)
  5. Fifth Gen: Playstation (Dec 3, 1994), Sega Saturn (May 11, 1995), N64 (Sept 29, 1996)
  6. Sixth Gen: Sega Dreamcast (Nov 27, 1998), PS2 (Mar 4, 2000), Gamecube (Sept 14, 2001), Xbox (Nov 15, 2001)
  7. Seventh Gen: Xbox 360 (Nov 22, 2005), PS3 (Nov 11, 2006), Wii (Nov 19, 2006)
  8. Eight Gen: WiiU (Nov 18, 2012), PS4 (Nov 15, 2013), Xbox One (Nov 22, 2013), Switch (Mar 3, 2017)
  9. Ninth Gen: Xbox Series (Nov 10, 2020), PS5 (Nov 12, 2020)
  10. Tenth Gen Rumors: Xbox (Nov 2026), Microsoft Handheld (2026), PS6 (Nov 2027)

Given this information we see that since Xbox and Playstation have been "competing" against each other, whenever the New Xbox or New Playstation releases looks to be the start of the New Generation. The WiiU is a special Nintendo case, otherwise the Switch should be a Gen 9 console. The Switch released <5 years after the Wii U, and the successor of the Switch is rumored for Spring 2025. This would make it release >5 years after the Xbox Series, satisfying this "rule" to have it be a 9th gen.

First of all, gens make little sense outside of the models following each other in *one* company. But yes, people *outside* the companies have tried to align gens. Maybe marketing too, back before the video game crash.
But if you are aligning gens, when at least do it based on who is competing in the market. Switch has competed by now much more with PS5 and Xbox Series than PS4 and XBox One. Or do you think anyone is considering: should I buy a Switch or a PS4?



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

KLXVER said:
JWeinCom said:

Why does it make sense to group it with either? In what situation is that classification useful?

When discussing your favorite 9th or 10th console?

You could as well discuss your favorite white colored console. Makes as much sense.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

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Pemalite said:

It would make it the third generation hybrid.

The WiiU was the first hybrid console that could play games dynamically across multiple different displays. (Built in mobile display and fixed TV).
It was range limited, but that is what makes it a first-generation attempt.

LUNAR

Shtinamin_ said:

That is super interesting. I don't know much about the hardware specific features. If it isn't a bother I would like to see your Generations list. Would that be possible?

1st console generation:
2 colours.
Single screen.

2nd console generation:
Cartridges for games.
8-bit Microprocessors adopted.
Colour and Audio.

3rd console generation:
8-bit microprocessors retained.
More sprites.
Ability to save games.
Improved audio with a greater range of audio effects.

4th console generation:
16-bit microprocessors adopted.
Parallax scrolling.
Wavetable/FM Audio synthesis.
Rotating/scaling of sprites.
Flat shaded 3D polygons.

5th console generation:
32-bit and 64-bit microprocessors adopted.
3D Polygon graphics with texture mapping.
Full Motion Video.

6th console generation:
32-bit and 64-bit processors retained.
Internet connectivity.
24-bit/32-bit colour.
TnL.
Bump Mapping/Hardware displacement mapping.
Shader Model 1.4/TEV/Fixed Function or equivalent.

7th console generation:
32-bit and 64-bit processors retained.
Broaband internet connectivity.
Hard drives for storage.
Programmable pixel and vertex shaders.
Parallax mapping.
Shader Model 3.0

8th console generation:
32-bit and 64-bit processors retained.
Tessellation.
Geometry Shader.
Direct Compute.
Shader Model 5.0
Dynamic resolution scaling/frame reconstruction.

9th console generation:
64-bit processors only.
Variable Rate Shading.
Hardware-based Ray Tracing.
Temporal reconstruction and anti-aliasing.
Mesh Shaders.

Ok I will attempt to make this but it will be very flawed (I'm not well versed in specific technologies). And I will try to focus on the major brands at the time (not counting pure handhelds).

  • 1st Gen
    • Magnavox Odyssey
    • Coleco Telstar
  • 2nd Gen
    • NES
    • Atari 2600
  • 3rd Gen
    • Master System
    • Atari 7800
  • 4th Gen
    • SNES
    • Genesis
    • Neo Geo
  • 5th Gen
    • Atari Jaguar
    • N64
    • PS1
    • 3DO
    • Saturn
  • 6th Gen
    • Dreamcast
    • PS2
    • Xbox
    • Gamecube
  • 7th Gen
    • Xbox 360
    • PS3
    • Wii
  • 8th Gen
    • WiiU
    • PS4
    • Xbox One
  • 9th Gen
    • Switch
    • Xbox Series
    • PS5

How did I do? Good? Bad? 



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

Mnementh said:
Shtinamin_ said:

Ever since Nintendo's has gotten into the game console career. They have always been some of the later consoles to be released in a generation.

  1. First Gen: N/A
  2. Second Gen: N/A
  3. Third Gen: NES (Jul 15, 1983), Atari 7800 (May 1986), Sega Master System (Sept 1986)
  4. Fourth Gen: Sega Genesis (Aug 14, 1989), NEC Turbografx-16 (Aug 29, 1989), SNK Neo Geo (Apr 26, 1990), SNES (Nov 21, 1990)
  5. Fifth Gen: Playstation (Dec 3, 1994), Sega Saturn (May 11, 1995), N64 (Sept 29, 1996)
  6. Sixth Gen: Sega Dreamcast (Nov 27, 1998), PS2 (Mar 4, 2000), Gamecube (Sept 14, 2001), Xbox (Nov 15, 2001)
  7. Seventh Gen: Xbox 360 (Nov 22, 2005), PS3 (Nov 11, 2006), Wii (Nov 19, 2006)
  8. Eight Gen: WiiU (Nov 18, 2012), PS4 (Nov 15, 2013), Xbox One (Nov 22, 2013), Switch (Mar 3, 2017)
  9. Ninth Gen: Xbox Series (Nov 10, 2020), PS5 (Nov 12, 2020)
  10. Tenth Gen Rumors: Xbox (Nov 2026), Microsoft Handheld (2026), PS6 (Nov 2027)

Given this information we see that since Xbox and Playstation have been "competing" against each other, whenever the New Xbox or New Playstation releases looks to be the start of the New Generation. The WiiU is a special Nintendo case, otherwise the Switch should be a Gen 9 console. The Switch released <5 years after the Wii U, and the successor of the Switch is rumored for Spring 2025. This would make it release >5 years after the Xbox Series, satisfying this "rule" to have it be a 9th gen.

First of all, gens make little sense outside of the models following each other in *one* company. But yes, people *outside* the companies have tried to align gens. Maybe marketing too, back before the video game crash.
But if you are aligning gens, when at least do it based on who is competing in the market. Switch has competed by now much more with PS5 and Xbox Series than PS4 and XBox One. Or do you think anyone is considering: should I buy a Switch or a PS4?

Every website says that Switch is 8th. I honestly think it can be 9th, but generations aren't declared making it difficult.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

Chrkeller said:

Much like genres I think generations kind of don't exist anymore.

I think gens are a pre video game crash thing. There was a dizzying amount of consoles out in the market back then. It may have been a helpful categorization to separate it into first-gen consoles and second gen (mostly defined by some quality of life features, like the introduction of cartridges and detached controllers instead of PCB or hard-coded games and controls on the console itself). Post crash the amount was small enough, that you could compare directly the few competitors.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Shtinamin_ said:
Mnementh said:

First of all, gens make little sense outside of the models following each other in *one* company. But yes, people *outside* the companies have tried to align gens. Maybe marketing too, back before the video game crash.
But if you are aligning gens, when at least do it based on who is competing in the market. Switch has competed by now much more with PS5 and Xbox Series than PS4 and XBox One. Or do you think anyone is considering: should I buy a Switch or a PS4?

Every website says that Switch is 8th. I honestly think it can be 9th, but generations aren't declared making it difficult.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nintendo_Switch

Wikipedia can't even make a decision.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Mnementh said:
Shtinamin_ said:

Every website says that Switch is 8th. I honestly think it can be 9th, but generations aren't declared making it difficult.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nintendo_Switch

Wikipedia can't even make a decision.

I don't think Wiki is the best place for sources. But there is a lot of reasoning why it should be gen 9. So what are the reasons why it should be gen 8?



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.