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Forums - Sony Discussion - How much units will the PS5 sell next year?

         

How much will the PS5 sell in 2021?

< 5M 3 $1,050.02 6.52%
 
5-7.5M 1 $5.00 2.17%
 
7.5M-10M 3 $161.00 6.52%
 
10M-12.5M 3 $1,220.00 6.52%
 
12.5M-15M 7 $1,102.00 15.22%
 
15M-17.5M 17 $6,386.00 36.96%
 
17.5M-20M 8 $1,962.00 17.39%
 
20M-22.5M 1 $1,000.00 2.17%
 
22.5M-25M 2 $550.00 4.35%
 
> 25M 1 $1.00 2.17%
 
 
Totals: 46 $13,437.02  
Game closed: 12/31/2020

With the release of the new gen out of the way, what do you think will the PS5 sell next year? I talk about calendar year 2021 and numbers according to VGC. And to make it something you not just about preferences, I make it a bet, so you should put your VG$ where your mouth is.

You can also bet, which console will sell the most in 2021.

Last edited by Mnementh - on 25 November 2020

3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

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Attention: I added two options beyond 20M. If that is important, you can change your current bet.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

With low production for the foreseeable future, not much.



I updated the comparative thread with data from all three console threads. This is the graph, comparing the bets in all three threads (as of today):

You can still add bets.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

If supply could actually meet demand, 22.5-25 million. I'll just bet on that, because what do I have to lose?



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

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I imagine 17.5-20.0M.



The first year for a system isn't high compared to year 2, 3, and/or 4. So I'll say 10-12.5 mil. I think sales will slow down in the Spring and Summer time.
So by shipped numbers if Sony releases them:
Jan - March: 2 - 2.5 mil
April - June: 1.5 -2 mil
July - Sept: 2 - 2.5 mil
Oct - Dec: 4.5 -5.5 mil

2022 I predict will be 15 -17 mil.



As much as Sony can deliver to the market. First half of 2021 will be another period full of Covid-19 problems, damn perhaps even the entire year of 2021... that said, yeah, Video game sales are going to be strong.



Prediction: In 5 years Nintendo will Lauch a "Core Mario game"  very similar to Astro Bot. That said, many will Ignore Astro Bot existence and say Nintendo created this concept.

Whoa, when did this betting feature become available?



 

My Real Redneck friends


PDF said:

Whoa, when did this betting feature become available?

A year and a half ago.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]