Yeah, I hope and I'm confident that the Switch will clear even the mathematical highest possible number the PS2 could have sold, which is 161.8m. Then, any endless fanboy discussion would be obsolete.

My opinion is that the only way it misses 160m is if it fails to hit 11m this year, which isn't completely out of the question, but the point I think we were trying to make is that 11m as a baseline basically puts anything less than 160m out of the probable realm of possibility

Yeah my personal target has been 162m since they did the estimates thread on Era.

The Switch falling off quickly after its successor comes out is a real possibility though depending on what Nintendo does. As I said it wouldn't need to have declines as big as the DS had after the 3DS came out to fall short. It had a 70% decline followed by 54% where for the Switch 60% followed by 45% wouldn't make it if it does 11m this fiscal year.

Though that's assuming it does 11m. If it does 12m it'll basically be guaranteed to make it whereas if it only does 10m then it would most likely miss it without a price cut I think so it really is coming down to the wire now.

The gap between 155M and 162M is pretty big - 7M so the chances are very big that Switch can finish in that gap exactly .. 7M for the last years of it's life may be 2 to 3 years of sales .. Also passing the 160 or 162M isn't the only case where there won't be debates. Not reaching 155M is the another case where debates won't be made too.

they should make more limited edition Switch consoles to close the gap! I Hope Zelda Switch lite has at least 500k produced.

My personal target since I’ve first posted on here (which isn’t long) is 162.36M.

Very specific target for lifetime sales.

Anyway, the Switch has almost certainly passed the sales of the PS2 in USA by the time the new Zelda comes out:

https://mynintendonews.com/2024/06/24/us-switch-lifetime-unit-sales-trail-ps2-by-1-41-million-as-of-may/

Looking at the European charts, Jan to May, the Switch is deffo selling much less than last year, though it was an unusually weak lie-up for that period and last year was Tears of the Kingdom launch. The autumn looks stronger overall though and has the potential for some sales boosts. be interesting to see if 2D Zelda as a playable character is a system seller:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/461531/ps5-vs-xbox-series-xs-vs-switch-2024-europe-sales-comparison-charts-through-may/