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Forums - Sales Discussion - Which console will sell the most in 2021?

         

Which console will sell the most 2021?

Series X/S 0 $0.00 0%
 
PS5 7 $4,000.00 9.86%
 
Switch 63 $38,282.00 88.73%
 
PS4 0 $0.00 0%
 
Xbox One 0 $0.00 0%
 
Game&Watch 1 $20.00 1.41%
 
 
Totals: 71 $42,302.00  
Game closed: 12/31/2020

That's not even a question Switch will obliterate everything next year.



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I added the current state of things as of today to the OP. This boils down to these two graphs:

The data from the bets in this thread.

And this is from the three threads where you can bet on the the three main consoles next years sales.

Remember: Bets are still open till the end of the year.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022 

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Call me crazy, but PS5 will take it.
Switch will do crazy well, but will probably drop at least a few million units from this year. There might even be a drop of 5 million or more. PS5 had the biggest console launch ever. Now that doesn't mean everything for momentum or lifetime sales, but it's something.
PS5 also has some key cross-gen, console exclusive, multiplats, and true exclusive games out next year. God of War V, Ratchet and Clank, Gran Turismo 7, Hogwarts Legacy (I foresee this one selling very well), Horizon Forbidden West, etc.
This is a more out there prediction. It's probably more likely that Switch will sell the most, and PS5 will place second. If Sony can't meet demand, that's even more the case.
Call it spite, being a contrarian, or whatever. But my bet is on the PS5.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 144 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million)

PS5: 105 million Xbox Series S/X: 60 million

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Mnementh said:
TomaTito said:

Let's bet VG$3,333.33 since we are three years in.

EDIT: Darn it, we can only bet 1k!

VGC has some safety against people betting their life... in virtual website currency?

Yeah, VGC is more considerate than AAA publishers with some all-ages games (I'm looking at you EA with Fifa and FUT!)



All in on Atari VCS



 

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Switch is getting an original Monster Hunter, Japan will explode in sales. Switch with ease is my prediction.



Wman1996 said:

Call me crazy, but PS5 will take it.
Switch will do crazy well, but will probably drop at least a few million units from this year. There might even be a drop of 5 million or more. PS5 had the biggest console launch ever. Now that doesn't mean everything for momentum or lifetime sales, but it's something.
PS5 also has some key cross-gen, console exclusive, multiplats, and true exclusive games out next year. God of War V, Ratchet and Clank, Gran Turismo 7, Hogwarts Legacy (I foresee this one selling very well), Horizon Forbidden West, etc.
This is a more out there prediction. It's probably more likely that Switch will sell the most, and PS5 will place second. If Sony can't meet demand, that's even more the case.
Call it spite, being a contrarian, or whatever. But my bet is on the PS5.

A drop of 5m from this year for the switch equates to 23m, considering the is a rumour that PS5's 2021 shipment is 16-18m that would still make Switch the highest seller next year by a comfortable margin. From that shipment alone Switch would need to drop 9-10m just for PS5 to be even and that's if the PS5 manages the 18m part.



Imagine if the VgChartz money was real, it'd be the easiest 1000 dollars ever :P



Link_Nines.XBC said:

Imagine if the VgChartz money was real, it'd be the easiest 1000 dollars ever :P

This seems like a pretty safe bet, I didn't bet $1000 on it because I kind of want to be able to bet on more things until then. But also 2020 showed us that there is nothing we can take for granted. So it won't be over until it is all said and done. 



Wman1996 said:

Call me crazy, but PS5 will take it.
Switch will do crazy well, but will probably drop at least a few million units from this year. There might even be a drop of 5 million or more. PS5 had the biggest console launch ever. Now that doesn't mean everything for momentum or lifetime sales, but it's something.
PS5 also has some key cross-gen, console exclusive, multiplats, and true exclusive games out next year. God of War V, Ratchet and Clank, Gran Turismo 7, Hogwarts Legacy (I foresee this one selling very well), Horizon Forbidden West, etc.
This is a more out there prediction. It's probably more likely that Switch will sell the most, and PS5 will place second. If Sony can't meet demand, that's even more the case.
Call it spite, being a contrarian, or whatever. But my bet is on the PS5.

I expect the PS5 to sell very well, but I don't see it selling 20 million+ in it's first calendar year.