Anything is possible in this chaotic and cruel world

Just gonna copy and paste what I said in the other thread. This game will outsell FF16 by a lot given enough time. It will continue to sell next gen and long after that. The OST alone will be talked about in 2050 if we and gaming is still around. I seen someone say this will be some kids FF7 and be remembered in 30 years and I reckon so or as a translation for everyone else, someone's MGS for stealth action, someone's Granturismo for racers, someone's GoW/DMC for action, someones mario for platformers, someone's Bloodborne, someone's Zelda etc and I'll go as far to say it will do all this while sucking people in who currently don't like turn based games or mildly so and convert them but could also hurt other turn based games cause nothing will ever stack up. Like others are saying, Clair obscur does for turn based what Baldurs Gate 3 has for CRPGs (even though I think Divity OS series helped a hell of a lot in that and Metaphor and persona before it has obviously helped here.)

9.7 user score on now 5k reviews. 92% on 20k reviews on Steam. 4.92/5 on PSN on 9k reviews, I've never seen that happen before. It's fair to say people are loving this game and only one quarter of people on PS5 have reached where the game gets extremely, extremely good, addicting and hits so fucking hard which is about one third of the main quest. 

All right, so Expedition 33 reached 2 million sales. It's still selling well after all.

What do you guys think now?

With a little luck, it might hit like 4m sales in a month or slightly after.
I think it will have "legs" and just keep on going sales wise for a while.
Yes I honestly could see it outselling XVI (maybe Im just too hyped atm).

Still not sure if it'll hit 5M.

Even as it'll not likely be a front loaded game, so it should keep selling for a bit, but I still believe it'll be outshadowed by games like Death Stranding, Ghost of Yotei and some others.

So unless it wins GOTY and picks up a lot of tranction next year as well, I really don't think it will end with more sales than FF16, which I expect to sell 7M+ copies in its lifetime.

Game has become one of my favourites of all time, clearly the generations best so far jumping right over Elden Ring which is a masterpiece itself. It is at number 6 of my all time greats right behind Bloodborne and Sekiro and not quite reaching Divinity OS 1& 2 which it would be comparable to but those games were made with the fans inputting their thoughts, basically crafted by gamers themselves by proxy via Larians talented devs and I'm going straight back in for another playthrough on a fresh save after I close out NG+ and get the platinum where I have absolutely broken the game so much I only need to do three button presses and attack with one character on any mob or boss is instantly deleted apart from enemies that need bullets and it's still fun. It was magically experimenting with builds and finding out what worked and I hope the devs know that this is a good thing that doesn't need balancing and the damage cap is fine for holding it back although I think they should keep the damage cap until after act 3. Even Divinity OS series is a slow burn with building and synergies and setups, slight refinements over long paced out gameplay bit by bit but here it just let's you go as nuts as you want and by the time you're deep into the end game, if you aren't one shoting higher level enemies you are playing the game wrong. 

People will hype this game for decades but right now there is a hidden battle going on in workplaces where it is being discussed against Square Enix, Atlus and some other studios games and how much better it is than the best of them or holds up with them. This game is gonna attract a lot of people, even those not into turn based JRPG styled games. It has Award season after natural word of mouth has faded, which it will get in on every category almost and now that GTA6 is gone it'll probably win much, then a film releases which people will hype and then in turn hype the game to also boost sales and many years of talk about how great it is. Frankly I think it's underrated on the aggregate sites, if this was a sequel or a studio of merit releasing this it would be 95+ territory. The fact that only 33% of journos finished the game and less than 50% had made it half way before the review embargo lifted as seen in the trophy data, many of them didn't do it justice. It's also a worrying stat cause it indicates half of Journos probably make reviews of half of games. Same reason Lies of P got such praise cause that game is good in the first half but then falls apart later or why Metaphor wasn't identified by reviewers as an insane slog cuase they only had the extremly great first 40% or so of the game to base opinions on. Devs probably know this and then front load the games causing a vicious cycle and why so many games are worse now toward the end. 

It's a given at this point.

FFXVI sold its 3m in 3 days and then didn't do too much after that. Expendition 33 is showing the kind of legs that don't just drop off over night. It will pass 5m by years end.

Do we even have any indication that FF16 has sold more than 5m? It hasn't been featured in any chart since 2023 so unless it gets a Switch+Xbox release its not hitting 7m and 5 is not even a given.

Also there is zero chance of Expedition 33 getting outshadowed by Death Stranding or Ghost of Yotei. Not only are they familiar sequels (no shiny new experience buzz), they're also completely different gameplay experiences. If Oblivion remaster dropping on the same day didn't outshadow it, nothing will.

No more than 4 million. They released saying 3.5 million but probably best to give it a bit extra even if it is crawling very slowly. 

Also, we can expect to see a different year now, maybe some 2026 games will come at the end of this year. I'd still find it hard to see anything beating E33 but it technically still is early in the year. 

word of mouth is great for the game.

The WOM is basically.   "It feels like FF7 to 10 but look like modern game"

which is ironically when people begged for a FF7 remake is what they wanted.