Is it possible for Clair Obscur to outsell Final Fantasy XVI?

[LegitHyperbole]

Otter said:

BraLoD said:

Still not sure if it'll hit 5M.

Even as it'll not likely be a front loaded game, so it should keep selling for a bit, but I still believe it'll be outshadowed by games like Death Stranding, Ghost of Yotei and some others.

So unless it wins GOTY and picks up a lot of tranction next year as well, I really don't think it will end with more sales than FF16, which I expect to sell 7M+ copies in its lifetime.

Do we even have any indication that FF16 has sold more than 5m? It hasn't been featured in any chart since 2023 so unless it gets a Switch+Xbox release its not hitting 7m and 5 is not even a given.

Also there is zero chance of Expedition 33 getting outshadowed by Death Stranding or Ghost of Yotei. Not only are they familiar sequels (no shiny new experience buzz), they're also completely different gameplay experiences. If Oblivion remaster dropping on the same day didn't outshadow it, nothing will.

No more than 4 million. They released saying 3.5 million but probably best to give it a bit extra even if it is crawling very slowly. 

Also, we can expect to see a different year now, maybe some 2026 games will come at the end of this year. I'd still find it hard to see anything beating E33 but it technically still is early in the year.