I am not. Just for third or forth time you are getting out a data that isn't correct or logical in what ? 2 weeks or something like that .. If you are talking about shipments then yes, I can agree. But I mentioned before that about sold units, and you are writing after that 135M till november .. which is totally wrong according to the current data we have.

I don't disagree with your shipped numbers but never mixup shipped and sold numbers when you calculate. That's a wrong method. Either calculate only shipped numbers or only sold numbers. The two can't be mixed up! It's a bit like comparing profit with net gain. The two are not the same thing and therefore can't be compared.

The only way shipped and sold numbers would differ is in:

A) In Transit, but there is no indication how long a unit would be or if a platform holder would report an In Transit unit as shipped. But if so In Transit would hit balance sheet not P&L. At quarterly reports we do not see an In Transit number balance sheet number reported as far as I'm aware, it certainly would not account in Inventory. Therefore must assume revenue & cost of goods sold aligns with shipments.

B) Consignment Stock, in the case Nintendo has consignment stock agreements with retailers a.k.a stock at retailers are owned by Nintendo until retailer sells to end consumer. This again would be on the balance sheet not P&L. As far as I'm aware there is no consignment stock accounted for on Quarterly reports.

Nintendo reports Revenue, Cost of Good Sold and unit shipped every quarter. These 3 numbers are tied to the hip. You cannot report unit shipped that are not accounted in Revenue or Cost of Goods Sold or visa versa. Therefore the reported numbers are sold from Nintendo's perspective.

This really isn't complicated. The rate of sales matter, how many are sold per month and how many sold per year. That is what this website tracks. It is on the front page. It is what almost all the articles posted are about. It underpins the gaming business. It is what market share is all about.

If I sell two different systems, both 5 million per year, 10 million total for both, after 10 years I've sold 100 million consoles. 50 million each.

If you sell a console 8 million per year. After 10 years you've sold 80 million. You've sold the most of one console model, 80 million total, but you've sold less in total versus your competitor's two systems. Your rate of sales was lower. This is basic math, basic business sense, and what this website is all about. Why do you come here to read about how many have sold in the last month if you don't care about time.

Basic stuff.

The DS sold at a faster rate than the Switch. The 3DS was already being sold at this point in the lifespan of the Switch. Who cares what the total number is if the Switch needs to stay until the 8th year to equal what the DS did in 6. It took 33 percent longer time to get there.

"Your argument is invalid" made me laugh so hard.

It's time to move on. I've been waiting 12 years for an upgrade to Nintendo's hardware. Let's hope the Switch 2 outsells the Switch 1, not in total, but every month, and per every calendar year. That is what success will look like, not "how long do we have to wait until the Switch 3 goes on sale."

Exactly. Why you are making it hard on yourself to calculate the shipment numbers which we don't have data for (after their last earnings report) when you (and everyone else) can just use and talk and calculate on the Sold data which we have every month here on VGChartz. It's way more easy to just look at the sold. Why bother with shipments ..

I don't know if there is any Pokéfan here but the lastest DLC of Pokémon Scarlet/Violet is full of references and nods to the Black/White games.

The last generation of Pokémon followed this game release schedule: Sword/Shield (Main game) - 2019, Isle of Armor and Crown Tundra (DLCs) - 2020, Brilliant Diamond/Shining Pearl (remake of a previous game) - end of 2021, Pokémon Legends Arceus - beginning of 2022.

If the Pokémon Company follows the same patterns on this current generation, we will see a new Pokémon game in the next year. It would be something like this: Pokémon Scarlet/Violet (Main game) - 2022, The Teal Mask and The Indigo Disk (DLCs) - 2023, something related to the Black/White games - 2024.

We don't know if it would be a remake of Black/White, a sequel of Black 2/White 2 and/or a Legends game based on Unova. My point is, this new game can help extend a little Switch's lifespan and its sales, so it might help the Switch to get to the 150+ million territory.

To conclude, a little side note:
1) Black/White was released in 2010 in Japan to the DS and the 3DS was released one year later. DS's sales increased during Black/White release
2) Black 2/White 2, was released in 2012 to the DS, with the 3DS already in the market. DS's sales didn't increase during Black 2/White 2 release

Yeah 150 is a lock, like mentioned earlier. Switch should surpass 140 million by March 31st, still with no successor announced or likely to even release until later that year (2024). That means Switch will be the only platform from Nintendo on the market for the next two quarter (April 2024-June 2024 quarter and July 2024 to Sept 2024). I can see those quarters combining for 4 million bringing Switch up to about 145 million by Sept 2024. Even with Switch 2 sometime that holiday (2024), I think Switch simply has too much steam to not sell another 5 million (reaching 150 million). But if Switch gets another tentpole release from Pokemon then reaching the high 150s should be well within reach, what will be interesting is when it releases. It should be from the Legends team but will Nintendo launch Switch 2 with a 3D Mario competing with a Pokemon game that same holiday? I'm beginning to think maybe that Pokemon game releases in January 2025 like Legends Arceus to be out of the way of Switch 2 release in November or October. Switch would get a major release helping momentum in 2025. 

By my calculations, I think Switch just about gets it done assuming a 3DS-style replacement cycle:

FY2023: 141.5m (16m [13.74m (Q1-Q3) + 2.26m (Q4)])
FY2024: 152.0m (10.5m (-35%))
FY2025: 157.5m (5.5m (-48%))
FY2026: 159.5m (2m (-64%))
FINAL   : 160.0m (0.5m)

This is assuming September 2024 release date for Switch 2, minor price cuts (lets say OLED gets dropped to $250-300 and base switch is axed), and one more big release (ie pokemon) for switch in 2025

I'd put the likely range at about 150-160m rn, depending on post-replacement support. Worst case, if we see a DS or PS4 style replacement, I'd say we'd be looking at about 148m-150m as a floor, with 165m as a high end assuming worse sales for the Switch 2 and aggressive price cuts for the OG switch

So now we have a more reliable source Eurogamer saying Switch 2 is a Q1 2025 release, which imo could play a big role in pushing the Switch past PS2 sales, now the Switch has a possibility of 1 more Holiday quarter to sell and possibly another holiday title to keep in relevant, maybe a new Pokemon remake or gen. We have to remember the DS still had a huge 8M unit holiday quarter in the quarter just before 3DS launched.