140M by March 31st ? I am not so sure. It will get to 135/136M with December. From there Switch made around 800/900k monthly sales the last few months before the holidays. Even with that pace it won't reach 140M it will felt short. However by January I expect Switch to drop to around 150k weekly (remeber that before the holidays Switch last couple of weeks were between 180k and 200k) and with that Switch is making no more than 600k monthly, which in return means that it will sell no more 2M for the first 3 months of 2024. Which it means that If it reaches 136M with December, then it is finishing March with no more than 138M.

And depending on when the successor is announced and launched the 10M till the next March of 2025 from April 2024 are under question as well.

140M by March 31st ? I am not so sure. It will get to 135/136M with December. From there Switch made around 800/900k monthly sales the last few months before the holidays. Even with that pace it won't reach 140M it will felt short. However by January I expect Switch to drop to around 150k weekly (remeber that before the holidays Switch last couple of weeks were between 180k and 200k) and with that Switch is making no more than 600k monthly, which in return means that it will sell no more 2M for the first 3 months of 2024. Which it means that If it reaches 136M with December, then it is finishing March with no more than 138M.

And depending on when the successor is announced and launched the 10M till the next March of 2025 from April 2024 are under question as well.

My original prediction was that the Switch was gonna sell ~7 (I dont recall the exact, dont dont want to scroll through these pages) in November and December, sending the Switch to 140M. At the moment right now with the November Worldwide post, and Japan's 2 december weekly posts, the Switch is sitting at around 135.16M (~135,167,767, some discrepancies due to assuming when Nintendo states they sell 132.46M I read it as 132,460,000).

I expect this same consistency in 2024 at least 1M per month average til end of Oct. By March it will reach 141M.

I don't know where you are getting this wrong number .. We are talking about sold units, not shipped here. So according to VGChartz, with the month of November Switch is at 132.9M now. With December I think it will get to 135/136M at max. So how did you came up with that 135.16M is out of my mind ..

Are you trying to count the 2 weeks of Japan's december ? Because if that's the case, those are 170K both, which will get the Swtich to 133.1M not 135..

Also I guarantee you that the 2024 year for the Switch won't be 1M per month .. it will be far less than that, somewhere around 600k monthly. So by march the best what it can reach is 138M.

In the latest Nintendo earning report, https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2023/231107e.pdf , at page 9 there's a table labeled "Consolidated sales units, number of new titles, and sales units forecast" and the first section is regarding Hardware. At the 3rd column it has another label above it saying "Sales Units in Ten Thousands" and the 3rd column is labeled "Life-to-date Sept '23". Nintendo gives the total of 13,426. 132.46M sold. Nintendo labels them as sold. (Yes, Nintendo and all gaming companies label the shipped as sold and that because it is. Stores have already "bought" the consoles).
So we have 132.46M sold by the end of September according the the Nintendo 6 months Earnings Report. From September I added the VGChartz estimates from October (0.87 +132.46=133.33), November (1.66+133.33=134.99) and Japan's 2 weeks of December (171,831+134.99= 135.16M) to reach 135.16M.

VGChartz estimates are very accurate (example at the end of the September WW estimate post the total of sold matched Nintendo's reports, when aligned with Nintendo's June report). By the end of December VGChartz estimate will match Nintendo's earning report (aligned with September's report).

We are working only with data from here - VGChartz. You can't just come out and say the sales are above 135M when they are under 133M with November. Those units are shipped you are mentioning about. They are already sold cuz Switch is more than 132.46M now. However what numbers you see here, those are the most accurate to date sold figures. So we are working with them. Don't jump through hoops just to higher the Switch sold numbers. The site makes adjustments when it has to and is displaying the most accurate numbers to date for sold not shipped. It's little bit under 133M now. That's it. Stop work with other sites and wrongly calculated data. It's so easy - just watch the numbers that are here for everything - region, worldwide, every type of console or whatever you want, and make calculations based on that.

Yeah! How he use official sources and extrapolate from there! Especially when it disagrees with your point!

Jokes aside, his method is not a bad one to estimate current shipped numbers, assuming Nintendo is replacing like-with-like. It isn't perfect but there's no need to react like he's performed some taboo action.

We are talking about sold units here, not shipped. Read carefully .. and I have written it few times in my previous posts that he quoted and answered, and still calculating shipments .. my original comment that he quoted was answer for other post that was all about the sold units not the shipped ones. Of course the shipped will be 2M higher .. And I reacted that way cuz he is constantly working with wrong or miscalculated data, it isn't so hard to check every time.. the data, the post, the article, or whatever it is about the topic of the discussion.

We are talking about sold units here, not shipped. Read carefully .. and I have written it few times in my previous posts that he quoted and answered, and still calculating shipments .. my original comment that he quoted was answer for other post that was all about the sold units not the shipped ones. Of course the shipped will be 2M higher .. And I reacted that way cuz he is constantly working with wrong or miscalculated data, it isn't so hard to check every time.. the data, the post, the article, or whatever it is about the topic of the discussion.

We are talking about sold units here, not shipped. Read carefully .. and I have written it few times in my previous posts that he quoted and answered, and still calculating shipments .. my original comment that he quoted was answer for other post that was all about the sold units not the shipped ones. Of course the shipped will be 2M higher .. And I reacted that way cuz he is constantly working with wrong or miscalculated data, it isn't so hard to check every time.. the data, the post, the article, or whatever it is about the topic of the discussion.