Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 30, 2020 (Jul 20 - Jul 26)

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Supermario28 said:
Marth said:
Also New Horizons is now the best selling game of the franchise at retail in Japan.

Wild Worlds LTD was 5.241.655

Which also makes New Horizons the 8th best-selling game of all time.
Next game ahead is Ruby/Sapphire at 5.337.045 LTD

I think New Leaf is the best selling Animal Crossing at retail in japan with 5'790'000 units ranking as the 6th best selling game of all time.

(Chart updated on the 4th of June 2020)

Source: https://twitter.com/oscarlemaire/status/1268534043898982400/photo/1

Where did 5.3 mil for Monster Hunter Freedom 3 come from? According to Capcom's own investor website it's 4.9 mil. http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/finance/million.html



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Oh my god. Switch just deleted everyone. Thosr hardware sales are insane! And Animal Crossing has returned back at the top!



Pocky Lover Boy! 

with 5.28 million copies sold physically, this number of shipments: assuming they’re selling in the 80-100% range would look like this:

100% - 5.28 million
95% - 5.56 million
90% - 5.87 million
85% - 6.21 million
80% - 6.60 million

And that’s not counting digital. Which, based purely on my own hypothesis, this is a total shot in the dark so take this with a grain of salt, would be 1-1.5 million digital sales.

So overall shipped+digital numbers could range anywhere from 6.28 - 8.10 million.

I’ll say this: Nintendo’s upcoming Earnings Release next week is going to be the most interesting in quite some time.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
(https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/241660/ps4xbons-2019-vs-2020/1/)

PAOerfulone said:
with 5.28 million copies sold physically, this number of shipments: assuming they’re selling in the 80-100% range would look like this:

100% - 5.28 million
95% - 5.56 million
90% - 5.87 million
85% - 6.21 million
80% - 6.60 million

And that’s not counting digital. Which, based purely on my own hypothesis, this is a total shot in the dark so take this with a grain of salt, would be 1-1.5 million digital sales.

So overall shipped+digital numbers could range anywhere from 6.28 - 8.10 million.

I’ll say this: Nintendo’s upcoming Earnings Release next week is going to be the most interesting in quite some time.

i said this before if you go with capcoms digital ratio of 80% the game is at 26,5 million



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noshten said:
zorg1000 said:

Yep, Lite model increasing the baseline, Pokemon reversing its decline & Ring Fit still being severely stock limited should keep sales high until Animal Crossing (and likely a special edition Switch Lite) comes and sees sales skyrocket and keeps sales high through the Spring.

1st half of the year should be notably up YoY, 2nd half is more questionable as last year was absolutely stacked with Mario Maker (last week of June so most of its sales in H2), Fire Emblem in July, improved model in Aug, Link's Awakening+Lite model+DQ XI in Sept, Luigi's Mansion+Ring Fit in Oct & Pokemon+Mario & Sonic in Nov.

That will be a hard lineup to beat so it will be interesting to see what Nintendo has in store this year.

They don't really need to beat 2nd half line up to do better

They only need a price drop and a Animal Crossing themed Switch/Switch Lite. 

Animal Crossing demand will be constant hardware driver for a while after it releases.

New Horizon is unprecedented and it will probably be supported for years by Nintendo. 

It will be driving sales World Wide during the holidays without the need for any other games. Ring Fit will help and so would any other big game Nintendo has planned for the holiday but at the end of the day we are seeing Animal Crossing mania dominate 2020 and in Japan, you can multiply this by ten. It's the perfect storm of Switch being super popular, Big Breakout for a Big IP(going from 10-15M WW to easily over >35M WW), COVID, a potential financial crisis which usually leads to even more escapism.... and most importantly ZERO competition geared towards the new demographics buying a Switch for New Horizon(young girls and women are hardly interested at buying PS5 or a new Xbox at launch)

It would be amazing when it outsells everything in the final quarter this year. Gotta remember this is the game's first December. I'm thinking it will easily eclipse New Leaf which had it's first holiday shortly after it's launch. The difference is that next year DLC might maintain strong sales for New Horizon which is one of the reason I think this game will do the unthinkable a few months ago... outselling Red/Blue/Yellow/Green by 2022. 

New Leaf 2012 Holidays(Dec 3, 2012 - Jan 6, 2013)

  • Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 115.556(-3%)
  • Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 213.329(+85%)
  • Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 400.320(+88%)
  • Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 163.948(-59%)
  • Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 135.971(-17%)

TOTAL: 1.029.124

Also, I think Pokemon Snap will be huge this holiday. 



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tbone51 said:
Updated!!! 19 Weeks

PokeSmash - 6546k vs ACNH - 5280k

Gap-1266k

First 25 weeks (PokeSmash vs ACNH)

W1: 2603k - 1880k
W2: 827k - 728k
W3: 700k - 423k
W4: 456k - 293k
W5: 498k - 286k
W6: 351k - 284k
W7: 289k - 260k
W8: 234k - 195k
W9: 105k - 130k
W10: 84k - 102k
W11: 66k - 102k
W12: 50k - 98k
W13: 47k - 77k
W14: 48k - 74k
W15: 38k - 70k
W16: 45k - 53k
W17: 40k - 56k
W18: 33k - 72k
W19: 29k - 94k
W20: 26k -
W21: 25k
W22: 33k
W23: 18k
W24: 17k

Legs doesn't even begin to describe AC:NH anymore; that more like the seven league boots by now!



Damn another week easily over 100k for Switch. Is this monster gonna sell 7 million this year??
And my god look at that AC, almost back to 100k. Mind blown. I wonder if AC in Japan is close to outselling AC in USA.



So what if Nintendo isn't announcing anything because they don't have anything big ready for 2020 or they pushed it back to 2021... I've always assumed they would have something ready. 

Could this mean they are clearing the way for 3rd Party games this holiday? So far Bandai Namco is working on Pokemon Snap, Konami is releasing Momotaro Dentetsu, Atlas will be launching SMT V next year but have an SMT III Nocturne ready for the holidays, Square has Bravely Default 2. Marvelous I'd also be very happy if Platinum is ready with Bayonetta 3, honestly if Bayo 3 releases I can wait until March/April 2021 for BotW 2 without any complaints. 

So what we are left with is Level-5 a hot mess right now & Koei Tecmo who I doubt have anything that could sell >200K on the Switch. 
And the final elephant in the room this December would be the perfect time for Capcom to drop Monster Hunter Switch in Japan... Looking at how New Horizon has exploded on the Switch... a new upgraded Monster Hunter could very easily be the biggest game in the franchise in Japan and it would be in less than one year. 

Oh yeah forgot Sega... like they've seemed to forget how to make games for the Switch this year and Marvelous who actually do have something

Last edited by noshten - on 30 July 2020

This feels cruel at this point but Switch to PS4 hardware ratio for this week is 87:1



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

Just noticed that NS is around 10m off the 3DS' total sales in the region and we've not even had a price cut yet, if it does end up having that 7m year it would reduce the gap down to 6m.