Well, I don't agree, but I concede that your point has some validation.

I still think that Lockhart is a mistake, only because of MS "all our games is crossgen" policy, but we will see.

For the first 2 years crossgen is the norm anyway, and sure people won`t replace their X1X for Series S on launch, but people that have regular X may do it, and then 2 years after the release there will be people that will look at the only cheap option for 9th gen games and buy Series S.

Well, I don't agree, but I concede that your point has some validation.

I still think that Lockhart is a mistake, only because of MS "all our games is crossgen" policy, but we will see.

It depends on distance AND TV size.

Also believe it or not but there's a combination of these two where there isn't much of a difference between 720p and 1080p.

Try sitting 1 meter in front of my TV. You would easily be able to see the difference between 4k and 8k, so this grand epic 1080p would look like shit on that distance.

I tried that at a electronic store. There was no difference between them. As for gaming, you will only notice if you zoom in.p

Specifically saying you get get the most powerful console for the price of the least powerful one is straight false advertisement and if MS did something like this their entire marketing team would be fired instantly.

XB1X owners are likely to grab XBSX asap. I don't see many of these people keeping their XB1X. How many will trade it in for XBSX and how many will go straight to the second hand market is tough to say, but this is likely where the majority of the early XBSX sales go.

XB1S owners are much less likely to buy an XBSX assuming it's $499 or higher, even at 12TF. I would assume Halo Infinite will also be miles better on the XBSX, and will likely look and run quite poorly on an XB1S. This will give many a good reason to upgrade, and instead of having to pay $399 like consumers had to for PS4 and Pro, or $499 for XB1, XB1X and XBSX, they will have the option to get Lockhart at around $299, and it should play Halo better overall than XB1X would.

Now Lockhart may suffer later into the gen like XB1S might now, but there will be a much cheaper XBSX by that point and possibly a mid gen upgrade beyond that to step up to, if you so choose. MS may focus more on getting people to buy Lockhart now and persuade to upgrade to XBSX later. Most of those earlier XBSX adopters are likely going to upgrade again as soon as they can.

Lockhart can work for MS, but they need to be very strategic about how they handle it. If they aren't careful they could botch this gen worse than last.

*Totally forgot to add this. Also depends a lot on whether or not XB1X and/or XB1S remain on shelves and what their prices are.

If both MS and Sony were selling their consoles for break even or small loss I would be very fine with they putting a budget entry version for 399 and a premium one 999 at the start of the gen as long as they ensure all games of the gen will be workeable on the base unit. Since 999 is a lot of money I would probably hold on buying the budget and after 2 years buy the premium hoping for a discount (when considered I bought base and pro and VR in the end I got near 999 on HW)

I wouldn't pay 999 for a premium model after seeing what happened with the pro and XBox One X. For that price I expect games to take full advantage of that system, not just run the same games at native 4K and/or 60 fps. The fact that they need to be workable on the base unit lessens the hype for a more expensive better model. It's the same as buying the best $800 GPU atm, just to boast about running games at 240 fps yet (besides star citizen) not having anything to actually use your expensive GPU to the fullest.

Totally understand that. But on HW we are talking at getting a very beefy console considering what a console of 399 can get you because of subside on the bulk purchase.

Using myself as an example: When MS announced the XBox One S it seemed like the exact machine I had been waiting for, turning the XBox One into a desirable console for a good price. However just minutes later they announced the XBox One X which left me scratching my head. What's going to happen now. Well, the XBox One X was too expensive here to justify getting it as a secondary console while games on the One S suffered. The One X made the One S look bad, yet the One S kept the One X back not really taxing the more expensive hardware, just running the same stuff at native 4K.

This feels like the same situation to me. I have no interest in a gimped console, and far less interest in the series X now it will have an anchor weight in Lockhart for the entire generation.

Thanks MS I guess, more money left over to spend on PSVR2 and games!

That would be the choice of most people

Many titles of the 7th gen weren't even 720P... Halo 3, Call of Duty and so forth being prime examples.
Plus many games opted for morphological anti-aliasing rather than MSAA or such... So images were terrible.

There is a big difference between 1080P and 2160P, but the extent of which depends on a myriad of factors like individual eyesight acuity, display size, display technology, display resolution, distance seated away from the display, even the ambient lighting.