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DonFerrari said:
Nautilus said:

But when most games will be crossgen, including MS own first party games, will it matter?

For the first 2 years crossgen is the norm anyway, and sure people won`t replace their X1X for Series S on launch, but people that have regular X may do it, and then 2 years after the release there will be people that will look at the only cheap option for 9th gen games and buy Series S.

Nautilus said:
DonFerrari said:

For the first 2 years crossgen is the norm anyway, and sure people won`t replace their X1X for Series S on launch, but people that have regular X may do it, and then 2 years after the release there will be people that will look at the only cheap option for 9th gen games and buy Series S.

Well, I don't agree, but I concede that your point has some validation.

I still think that Lockhart is a mistake, only because of MS "all our games is crossgen" policy, but we will see.

XB1X owners are likely to grab XBSX asap. I don't see many of these people keeping their XB1X. How many will trade it in for XBSX and how many will go straight to the second hand market is tough to say, but this is likely where the majority of the early XBSX sales go.

XB1S owners are much less likely to buy an XBSX assuming it's $499 or higher, even at 12TF. I would assume Halo Infinite will also be miles better on the XBSX, and will likely look and run quite poorly on an XB1S. This will give many a good reason to upgrade, and instead of having to pay $399 like consumers had to for PS4 and Pro, or $499 for XB1, XB1X and XBSX, they will have the option to get Lockhart at around $299, and it should play Halo better overall than XB1X would.

Now Lockhart may suffer later into the gen like XB1S might now, but there will be a much cheaper XBSX by that point and possibly a mid gen upgrade beyond that to step up to, if you so choose. MS may focus more on getting people to buy Lockhart now and persuade to upgrade to XBSX later. Most of those earlier XBSX adopters are likely going to upgrade again as soon as they can.

Lockhart can work for MS, but they need to be very strategic about how they handle it. If they aren't careful they could botch this gen worse than last.

*Totally forgot to add this. Also depends a lot on whether or not XB1X and/or XB1S remain on shelves and what their prices are.

Last edited by EricHiggin - on 27 June 2020